Sun, Jan 5, 2020·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.
35%
9%
48%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:47 | 0.04 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.05 | 87.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.03 | 87.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.01 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:09 | 0.75 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.56 | 33.2% | +8.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.18 | 35.7% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.03 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.09 | 48.1% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.27 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.10 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:00 | 0.88 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.88 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:40 | 0.14 | 61.8% | +18.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:21 | 0.21 | 83.9% | +18.7 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 3.80 | +2.8 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:09 | 0.02 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.09 | 48.1% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:44 | 0.07 | 39.1% | +2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.82 | 54.2% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.36 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.01 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.51 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.40 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.31 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:47 | 0.20 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.01 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.02 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.14 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:50 | 0.57 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:34 | 0.17 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.11 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 3.65 | +0.6 | 57:06 |