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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 6, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Edmonton Oilers

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 76% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Shot by Marner, saved by Smith
  3. P1 0:51Shot by Hyman, saved by Smith
  4. P1 1:14Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 1:36Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:32Shot by Kapanen, saved by Smith
  7. P1 3:33Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:08Shot by Barrie, saved by Smith
  9. P1 4:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith
  10. P1 4:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Smith
  11. P1 6:41Shot by Bear, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 6:50Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:10Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 7:48Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 7:51Goal by Klefbom (Larsson, McDavid)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · EDM Chiasson, Larsson, Klefbom, McDavid, Nygard

  16. P1 8:20Shot by Archibald, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 8:31Shot by Engvall, saved by Smith
  18. P1 9:48Shot by Holl, saved by Smith
  19. P1 10:30Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 11:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Smith
  21. P1 11:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Smith
  22. P1 12:57Dermott: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Ceci, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid, Yamamoto

  23. P1 15:18Shot by Haas, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 15:24Shot by Bear, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 15:28Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 15:50Holl: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Marincin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander · EDM Neal, Kassian, Nurse, McDavid, Bear

  27. P1 16:24Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen4v5
  28. P1 17:51Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 18:48Shot by Khaira, saved by Andersen
  30. P1 19:26Shot by Tavares, saved by Smith
  31. P1 19:52Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:34Goal by Nurse (McDavid, Bear)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Marincin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander · EDM Neal, Kassian, Nurse, McDavid, Bear

  35. P2 1:07Shot by Barrie, saved by Smith
  36. P2 1:45Goal by Yamamoto (Jones, Draisaitl)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Kapanen · EDM Russell, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, Jones, Yamamoto

  37. P2 2:24Goal by Spezza (Engvall, Kapanen)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Ceci, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott · EDM Russell, Sheahan, Archibald, Khaira, Jones

  38. P2 2:48Shot by Barrie, saved by Smith
  39. P2 3:08Shot by Marchment, saved by Smith
  40. P2 3:23Shot by Chiasson, saved by Hutchinson
  41. P2 4:25Shot by Neal, saved by Hutchinson
  42. P2 5:58Shot by Engvall, saved by Smith6v5
  43. P2 5:59Shot by Spezza, saved by Smith6v5
  44. P2 6:00Yamamoto: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Barrie, Rielly, Kapanen, Engvall, Matthews · EDM Archibald, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear

  45. P2 6:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Smith6v4
  46. P2 6:37Sheahan: Tripping (2 min)6v4

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · EDM Russell, Sheahan, Archibald, Klefbom

  47. P2 7:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith5v3
  48. P2 7:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Smith5v3
  49. P2 7:51Shot by Barrie, saved by Smith5v3
  50. P2 11:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Smith
  51. P2 11:39Shot by Archibald, saved by Hutchinson
  52. P2 12:56Shot by Barrie, saved by Smith
  53. P2 13:15Shot by Spezza, saved by Smith
  54. P2 13:29Shot by Haas, saved by Hutchinson
  55. P2 13:30Shot by Haas, saved by Hutchinson
  56. P2 13:41Goal by Chiasson (Nygard, Russell)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Ceci, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Russell, Chiasson, Jones, Nygard, Haas

  57. P2 14:52Shot by Neal, saved by Hutchinson
  58. P2 14:59Shot by Marincin, saved by Smith
  59. P2 16:22Goal by Gauthier (Marchment, Brooks)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Gauthier, Dermott, Marchment, Brooks · EDM Sheahan, Archibald, Larsson, Klefbom, Khaira

  60. P2 17:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith
  61. P2 19:13Goal by Engvall (Holl, Kapanen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott · EDM Chiasson, Nurse, Bear, Nygard, Haas

  62. P2 19:36Shot by Kapanen, saved by Smith
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:28Kerfoot: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Ceci, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall · EDM Neal, Kassian, Nurse, McDavid, Bear

  66. P3 0:53Shot by Klefbom, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  67. P3 2:27Shot by Chiasson, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  68. P3 5:52Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Hutchinson
  69. P3 5:57Holl: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Russell, Chiasson, Jones, Nygard, Haas

  70. P3 6:26Goal by Draisaitl (Chiasson, McDavid)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Hyman, Ceci, Marner · EDM Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid

  71. P3 8:06Shot by McDavid, saved by Hutchinson
  72. P3 8:08Shot by Bear, saved by Hutchinson
  73. P3 9:04Shot by Ceci, saved by Smith
  74. P3 9:45Khaira: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Sheahan, Archibald, Larsson, Klefbom, Khaira

  75. P3 9:45Dermott: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Sheahan, Archibald, Larsson, Klefbom, Khaira

  76. P3 10:10Shot by Bear, saved by Hutchinson4v4
  77. P3 11:26Goal by McDavid (Nugent-Hopkins)4v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom, McDavid

  78. P3 12:54Shot by Marchment, saved by Smith
  79. P3 13:02Jones: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Jones, Yamamoto

  80. P3 13:18Goal by Matthews (Barrie, Marner)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · EDM Russell, Sheahan, Archibald, Klefbom

  81. P3 14:32Shot by Marner, saved by Smith
  82. P3 15:40Shot by McDavid, saved by Hutchinson
  83. P3 15:41Holl: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Neal, Kassian, Larsson, Klefbom, McDavid

  84. P3 18:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Smith
  85. P3 18:25Haas: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · EDM Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom, McDavid

  86. P3 18:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith6v4
  87. P3 19:04Shot by Marner, saved by Smith6v4
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final