Mon, Jan 6, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 76% of the time.
18%
69%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 27:56 | 0.16 | 49.3% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:05 | 0.08 | 67.5% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 8 | 24:49 | 1.12 | 76.3% | +49.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:11 | 0.29 | 36.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.67 | 33.6% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:27 | 0.23 | 72.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:39 | 0.34 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.04 | 47.2% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.05 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.23 | 42.9% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.03 | 70.2% | +7.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 11:51 | 0.21 | 69.1% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.55 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:30 | 0.19 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 68.1% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 65.6% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.09 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:16 | 0.42 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 2.94 | −1.1 | 59:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:12 | 0.14 | 60.9% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 24:08 | 0.14 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.34 | 58.4% | +1.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:45 | 0.43 | 69.5% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.37 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.10 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.01 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.39 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.35 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.13 | 31.0% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.04 | 28.6% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.01 | 16.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 10:33 | 0.36 | 17.6% | +8.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6:39 | 0.11 | 90.4% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:10 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 4:55 | 0.03 | 35.8% | +6.7 |
| L | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 36:14 | |
| – | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 1.55 | −1.4 | 21:45 |