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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 10, 2020·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Bowey, saved by Hogberg
  3. P1 3:06Shot by Helm, saved by Hogberg
  4. P1 3:57Shot by Balcers, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Chabot, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 4:55Shot by Chlapik, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 5:09Shot by White, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 5:10Shot by White, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 5:25Shot by Reilly, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 5:36Shot by Helm, saved by Hogberg
  11. P1 7:12Shot by Anisimov, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 7:18Shot by Reilly, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 10:47Shot by Zadina, saved by Hogberg
  14. P1 10:49Shot by Zadina, saved by Hogberg
  15. P1 14:55Goal by Bertuzzi (Hronek, Fabbri)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · OTT Ennis, DeMelo, White, Chabot, Chlapik

  16. P1 17:00Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 18:29Shot by Chabot, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:14Shot by Nemeth, saved by Hogberg
  21. P2 2:12Shot by Erne, saved by Hogberg
  22. P2 3:07Hainsey: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Nemeth, Ehn, Smith · OTT Hainsey, Anisimov, Ennis, Chabot, Tkachuk

  23. P2 4:00Shot by Zadina, saved by Hogberg5v4
  24. P2 4:43Tkachuk: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Green, Bowey, Smith · OTT Goloubef, Pageau, Tierney, Englund

  25. P2 4:59Shot by Zadina, saved by Hogberg5v3
  26. P2 5:32Goal by Larkin (Hronek, Bertuzzi)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina · OTT Hainsey, DeMelo, Tierney, Brown

  27. P2 5:54Goal by Tkachuk (White)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Erne · OTT Hainsey, White, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk

  28. P2 9:22Shot by Hronek, saved by Hogberg
  29. P2 9:22Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Glendening, Bowey, Hronek · OTT DeMelo, Englund, White, Batherson, Tkachuk

  30. P2 9:22Hronek: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Glendening, Bowey, Hronek · OTT DeMelo, Englund, White, Batherson, Tkachuk

  31. P2 9:22Hronek: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Glendening, Bowey, Hronek · OTT DeMelo, Englund, White, Batherson, Tkachuk

  32. P2 9:30Shot by Batherson, saved by Bernier4v5
  33. P2 9:56Shot by Chabot, saved by Bernier4v5
  34. P2 10:27Shot by Tierney, saved by Bernier4v5
  35. P2 10:42Goal by White (Reilly, Ennis)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Biega, Lashoff · OTT Anisimov, Ennis, Reilly, White, Balcers

  36. P2 11:14Chabot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri · OTT Hainsey, Namestnikov, Duclair, White, Chabot

  37. P2 12:08Shot by Tierney, saved by Bernier5v4
  38. P2 13:59Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 14:51Shot by Chlapik, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 16:58Shot by DeMelo, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 18:25Shot by Ehn, saved by Hogberg
  42. P2 18:52Shot by Nemeth, saved by Hogberg
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:56Shot by Batherson, saved by Bernier
  46. P3 2:13Shot by Goloubef, saved by Bernier
  47. P3 2:53Shot by Englund, saved by Bernier
  48. P3 3:55Lashoff: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Biega, Lashoff, Glendening · OTT DeMelo, Reilly, White, Batherson, Tkachuk

  49. P3 7:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Hogberg
  50. P3 7:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Hogberg
  51. P3 8:00Shot by Hronek, saved by Hogberg
  52. P3 8:04Shot by Erne, saved by Hogberg
  53. P3 8:21Shot by DeMelo, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 8:31Shot by Anisimov, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 8:45Shot by Anisimov, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 9:21Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 11:47Shot by Erne, saved by Hogberg
  58. P3 13:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Hogberg
  59. P3 14:28Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hogberg
  60. P3 14:48Shot by Green, saved by Hogberg
  61. P3 16:12Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 16:19Shot by Balcers, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 17:40Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 18:35Brown: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Biega, Lashoff, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri · OTT DeMelo, Pageau, Reilly, Brown, Chlapik

  65. P3 19:29Shot by Hronek, saved by Hogberg5v4
  66. P3 19:59Shot by Green, saved by Hogberg5v4
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 0:25Shot by Fabbri, saved by Hogberg4v3
  70. OT 1:54Shot by Filppula, saved by Hogberg3v3
  71. OT 2:00Shot by Filppula, saved by Hogberg3v3
  72. OT 2:08Shot by Green, saved by Hogberg3v3
  73. OT 2:48Filppula: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: DET Filppula, Green, Bertuzzi · OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot

  74. OT 4:27Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier3v4
  75. OT 4:38Shot by White, saved by Bernier3v4
  76. OT 5:00Period end4v4
  77. SO Period start
  78. SO Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hogbergother
  79. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernierother
  80. SO Goal by Larkin, unassistedother
  81. SO Shot by Nielsen, saved by Hogbergother
  82. SO Shot by Anisimov, saved by Bernierother
  83. SO Period end
  84. SO Final