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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 12, 2020·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 5, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:48Shot by Biega, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:51Shot by Zadina, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 2:39Goal by Rodrigues (Lazar, Sheary)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Bowey, Ehn, Smith, Hronek · BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar, Sheary, Rodrigues

  5. P1 3:23Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  6. P1 3:25Green: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri · BUF Sheary, Reinhart, Eichel, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  7. P1 4:12Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard4v5
  8. P1 4:58Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard4v5
  9. P1 5:00Goal by Rodrigues (Jokiharju, Montour)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Lashoff, Glendening, Bowey · BUF Okposo, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues, Jokiharju

  10. P1 7:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 8:23Shot by Nemeth, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 12:08Bogosian: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · BUF Bogosian, Johansson, Eichel, Rodrigues, Pilut

  13. P1 12:43Goal by Girgensons, unassisted5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina · BUF Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Jokiharju

  14. P1 13:28Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark5v4
  15. P1 15:08Shot by Biega, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 16:56Bowey: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Erne, Bowey, Hronek, Zadina · BUF Bogosian, Johansson, Lazar, Montour, Rodrigues

  17. P1 17:16Shot by Johansson, saved by Howard4v5
  18. P1 17:34Shot by Dahlin, saved by Howard4v5
  19. P1 18:25Shot by Dahlin, saved by Howard4v5
  20. P1 19:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  21. P1 19:05Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Howard
  22. P1 19:39Shot by McCabe, saved by Howard
  23. P1 19:54Filppula: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Biega, Lashoff, Bertuzzi, Zadina · BUF Okposo, Larsson, McCabe, Sheary, Jokiharju

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 2:03Shot by Filppula, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 2:35Montour: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri · BUF Frolik, Larsson, Wilson, Montour, Pilut

  28. P2 4:15Shot by Bowey, saved by Ullmark5v4
  29. P2 5:57Shot by Biega, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 6:36Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  31. P2 7:22Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  32. P2 8:30Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 10:06Shot by Zadina, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 11:56Goal by Bowey (Fabbri, Larkin)+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · BUF Okposo, McCabe, Lazar, Rodrigues, Pilut

  35. P2 14:04Shot by Glendening, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 14:05Bogosian: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Ehn · BUF Bogosian, Girgensons, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel

  37. P2 14:46Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard5v4
  38. P2 16:03Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark5v4
  39. P2 16:36Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 18:02Shot by Lashoff, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 18:43Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:14Shot by Pilut, saved by Howard
  45. P3 1:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  46. P3 2:35Goal by Bogosian (Lazar, Frolik)+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Abdelkader, Bowey, Hronek, Zadina · BUF Frolik, Bogosian, Lazar, Rodrigues, Pilut

  47. P3 3:16Green: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Green, Nemeth, Glendening, Bertuzzi, Larkin · BUF Johansson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  48. P3 3:36Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard4v5
  49. P3 3:40Goal by Ristolainen (Eichel, Dahlin)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nemeth, Larkin, Hronek · BUF Johansson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  50. P3 4:28Shot by Frolik, saved by Howard
  51. P3 4:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  52. P3 7:25Shot by Frolik, saved by Howard
  53. P3 7:35Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  54. P3 7:36Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  55. P3 10:25Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 11:05Shot by Ehn, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 11:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  58. P3 13:35Shot by Pilut, saved by Howard
  59. P3 14:48Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard
  60. P3 15:14Shot by Ehn, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 18:38Shot by Fabbri, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final