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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 14, 2020·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum, Uniondale

Detroit Red Wings 2, New York Islanders 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 53% of the time.

NYI winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Glendening, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 0:37Shot by Glendening, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 2:04Shot by Erne, saved by Greiss
  5. P1 2:49Shot by Martin, saved by Howard
  6. P1 3:23Goal by Eberle (Barzal, Lee)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Lee, Barzal, Dobson · DET Nielsen, Helm, Glendening, Bowey, Hronek

  7. P1 3:59Shot by Dal Colle, saved by Howard
  8. P1 3:59Goal by Bailey (Kuhnhackl, Dal Colle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Kuhnhackl, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Toews · DET Filppula, Green, Nemeth, Erne, Zadina

  9. P1 4:51Shot by Fabbri, saved by Greiss
  10. P1 5:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Howard
  11. P1 5:42Shot by Eberle, saved by Howard
  12. P1 7:56Goal by Nelson (Beauvillier)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Brassard, Leddy, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier · DET Green, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri

  13. P1 8:41Shot by Nielsen, saved by Greiss
  14. P1 8:59Shot by Ehn, saved by Greiss
  15. P1 9:25Shot by Biega, saved by Greiss
  16. P1 9:41Shot by Zadina, saved by Greiss
  17. P1 9:58Shot by Komarov, saved by Pickard
  18. P1 10:08Shot by Martin, saved by Pickard
  19. P1 10:51Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Pickard
  20. P1 11:45Goal by Hronek (Fabbri, Larkin)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Brassard, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Beauvillier · DET Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek

  21. P1 13:06Shot by Zadina, saved by Greiss
  22. P1 14:30Abdelkader: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Barzal, Dobson · DET Nielsen, Bowey, Larkin, Smith, Hronek

  23. P1 14:30Dal Colle: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Barzal, Dobson · DET Nielsen, Bowey, Larkin, Smith, Hronek

  24. P1 15:30Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Pickard4v4
  25. P1 15:58Shot by Mayfield, saved by Pickard4v4
  26. P1 16:32Shot by Helm, saved by Greiss
  27. P1 17:53Shot by Dobson, saved by Pickard
  28. P1 18:30Goal by Lee (Barzal, Eberle)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Eberle, Lee, Pulock, Toews, Barzal · DET Filppula, Erne, Bowey, Hronek, Zadina

  29. P1 18:42Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Greiss
  30. P1 19:52Nelson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Brassard, Nelson, Mayfield, Toews, Beauvillier · DET Nielsen, Helm, Biega, Lashoff, Glendening

  31. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:11Shot by Fabbri, saved by Greiss4v5
  34. P2 1:59Goal by Nelson, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Komarov, Leddy, Nelson, Kuhnhackl, Pulock · DET Filppula, Nielsen, Green, Bowey, Smith

  35. P2 2:40Goal by Dobson (Pulock, Komarov)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Komarov, Martin, Pulock, Koivula, Dobson · DET Abdelkader, Biega, Nemeth, Glendening, Ehn

  36. P2 3:06Shot by Erne, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 4:12Shot by Pulock, saved by Pickard
  38. P2 4:30Glendening: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal · DET Nielsen, Helm, Glendening, Bowey, Hronek

  39. P2 5:36Shot by Brassard, saved by Pickard5v4
  40. P2 6:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss5v4
  41. P2 6:25Shot by Bailey, saved by Pickard5v4
  42. P2 6:31Shot by Lee, saved by Pickard
  43. P2 9:29Shot by Filppula, saved by Greiss
  44. P2 10:00Shot by Bowey, saved by Greiss
  45. P2 10:32Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Greiss
  46. P2 11:20Shot by Barzal, saved by Pickard
  47. P2 12:09Shot by Helm, saved by Greiss
  48. P2 13:43Shot by Biega, saved by Greiss
  49. P2 15:09Shot by Nielsen, saved by Greiss
  50. P2 15:43Shot by Lee, saved by Pickard
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:22Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 1:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss
  55. P3 1:54Shot by Lashoff, saved by Greiss
  56. P3 5:12Goal by Beauvillier (Pulock, Leddy)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Brassard, Leddy, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier · DET Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek

  57. P3 6:03Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Greiss
  58. P3 6:29Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Greiss
  59. P3 7:03Shot by Eberle, saved by Pickard
  60. P3 9:07Goal by Komarov (Mayfield)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Komarov, Martin, Mayfield, Toews, Koivula · DET Green, Nemeth, Ehn, Smith, Zadina

  61. P3 9:48Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 9:56Shot by Ehn, saved by Greiss
  63. P3 10:50Shot by Erne, saved by Greiss
  64. P3 11:24Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss
  65. P3 12:47Shot by Glendening, saved by Greiss
  66. P3 13:12Shot by Bowey, saved by Greiss
  67. P3 14:00Goal by Smith (Ehn, Nemeth)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Komarov, Martin, Mayfield, Koivula, Dobson · DET Abdelkader, Biega, Nemeth, Ehn, Smith

  68. P3 14:28Pulock: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Pulock, Barzal · DET Nielsen, Green, Helm, Nemeth, Erne

  69. P3 15:03Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss4v5
  70. P3 19:24Shot by Fabbri, saved by Greiss
  71. P3 19:32Shot by Biega, saved by Greiss
  72. P3 19:40Shot by Komarov, saved by Pickard
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final