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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 16, 2020·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.

CBJ winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Haula–Foegele–AhoStaal–Teravainen–SvechnikovDzingel–Wallmark–NecasNiederreiter–Martinook–McGinnEdmundson–PesceHamilton–SlavinGardiner–van RiemsdykEdmundson–van RiemsdykSlavin–van RiemsdykSlavin–PesceGardiner–PesceEdmundson–SlavinGardiner–Slavin
Foligno–Nyquist–Jenner1:340.00–0.090:460.04–0.003:080.03–0.181:190.00–0.113:060.03–0.282:400.04–0.091:480.00–0.44
Nash–Robinson–Lilja2:260.00–0.112:220.18–0.180:420.00–0.060:450.00–0.001:350.00–0.141:490.18–0.071:250.00–0.100:350.00–0.03
Atkinson–Dubois–Bemstrom0:430.05–0.003:140.22–0.130:560.05–0.052:120.07–0.130:550.00–0.00
Gerbe–Wennberg–Stenlund0:510.07–0.001:360.08–0.001:310.10–0.052:040.08–0.052:060.10–0.00
Nyquist–Dubois–Bemstrom1:270.00–0.002:120.10–0.160:340.00–0.001:070.00–0.140:400.00–0.001:050.06–0.000:480.04–0.16
Jenner–Stenlund–Lilja0:460.00–0.032:030.06–0.001:280.02–0.001:130.00–0.070:410.04–0.000:360.00–0.03
Gerbe–Atkinson–Wennberg1:340.03–0.001:090.00–0.170:300.01–0.000:410.00–0.001:590.01–0.03
Foligno–Nash–Robinson2:000.00–0.120:410.12–0.000:300.00–0.001:290.00–0.000:370.00–0.12
Jenner–Robinson–Lilja0:350.00–0.300:540.00–0.000:350.00–0.301:070.00–0.00
Nyquist–Atkinson–Dubois0:380.00–0.001:040.00–0.03
Gerbe–Wennberg–Bemstrom1:100.00–0.040:460.00–0.00
Jones–Werenski4:130.00–0.436:240.38–0.162:280.07–0.132:380.06–0.115:200.08–0.254:130.04–0.523:020.00–0.522:190.12–0.131:510.04–0.001:410.06–0.03
Savard–Gavrikov3:500.20–0.183:190.08–0.171:380.18–0.002:430.04–0.253:460.13–0.053:030.17–0.041:470.18–0.001:590.00–0.171:090.00–0.040:300.00–0.130:540.00–0.030:480.04–0.16
Harrington–Nutivaara2:410.03–0.200:510.00–0.004:060.03–0.032:470.00–0.112:400.02–0.051:420.00–0.002:320.03–0.031:250.00–0.100:520.01–0.001:040.00–0.030:370.00–0.12
Gavrikov–Nutivaara0:320.00–0.000:550.00–0.140:320.00–0.000:550.00–0.14
Savard–Harrington1:130.00–0.061:020.00–0.06
Jones–Nutivaara0:510.10–0.000:560.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNyquist FJenner FFoligno FAtkinson FDubois FBemstrom FWennberg FStenlund FGerbe FLilja FNash FRobinson FJones DWerenski DGavrikov DSavard DHarrington DNutivaara DMerzlikins GStaal FSvechnikov FTeravainen FFoegele FAho FHaula FWallmark FDzingel FNecas FNiederreiter FMcGinn FMartinook FHamilton DSlavin DEdmundson DPesce DGardiner Dvan Riemsdyk DMrazek G
CBJCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Seth JonesCBJ2624:570:581:5946
Brett PesceCAR2724:480:551:3635
Joel EdmundsonCAR2523:470:572:0223
Zach WerenskiCBJ2423:400:591:5935
Jaccob SlavinCAR2723:320:521:2742
Boone JennerCBJ2020:091:001:5135
David SavardCBJ2219:500:541:2632
Gustav NyquistCBJ2319:480:521:2124
Vladislav GavrikovCBJ2219:240:531:3432
Nick FolignoCBJ2118:120:521:2515
Sebastian AhoCAR2217:070:471:4121
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1916:290:521:3822
Trevor van RiemsdykCAR2116:150:461:3100
Pierre-Luc DuboisCBJ1916:050:511:2940
Martin NecasCAR1915:590:501:2661
Erik HaulaCAR2015:450:471:2821
Jordan StaalCAR2015:430:471:3814
Cam AtkinsonCBJ1915:330:491:2942
Markus NutivaaraCBJ1515:091:012:1303
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2115:080:431:3823
Eric RobinsonCBJ1714:590:532:0502
Jake GardinerCAR2014:450:441:2610
Lucas WallmarkCAR2114:240:411:1351
Ryan DzingelCAR2014:220:431:1760
Alexander WennbergCBJ2114:190:411:1445
Dougie HamiltonCAR1614:140:531:1941
Warren FoegeleCAR1914:110:451:2811
Emil BemstromCBJ1913:580:441:1651
Brock McGinnCAR1813:480:461:0732
Jordan MartinookCAR1913:290:431:0730
Nino NiederreiterCAR1612:570:491:1430
Jakob LiljaCBJ1612:550:481:5123
Scott HarringtonCBJ1612:370:471:3902
Nathan GerbeCBJ1912:330:401:1436
Riley NashCBJ1812:050:401:3914
Kevin StenlundCBJ1911:500:371:5154