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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2020·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Florida Panthers 4, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 74% of the time.

DET winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:18Shot by Acciari, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Stillman, saved by Howard
  4. P1 1:43Connolly: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Smith · FLA Yandle, Stralman, Connolly, Trocheck, Acciari

  5. P1 2:17Shot by Vatrano, saved by Howard5v4
  6. P1 6:07Pysyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Biega, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Zadina · FLA Boyle, Stralman, Sceviour, Pysyk, Stillman

  7. P1 6:28Shot by Hronek, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  8. P1 6:57Shot by Fabbri, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  9. P1 6:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  10. P1 7:39Shot by Daley, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  11. P1 8:36Nemeth: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Erne · FLA Dadonov, Huberdeau, Brown, Barkov, Ekblad

  12. P1 8:55Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Howard4v5
  13. P1 10:16Shot by Dadonov, saved by Howard4v5
  14. P1 10:45Shot by Connolly, saved by Howard4v5
  15. P1 11:24Shot by Trocheck, saved by Howard4v5
  16. P1 12:06Shot by Barkov, saved by Howard4v5
  17. P1 12:26Shot by Dadonov, saved by Howard4v5
  18. P1 12:54Shot by Biega, saved by Bobrovsky
  19. P1 13:13Shot by Pysyk, saved by Howard
  20. P1 13:20Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bobrovsky
  21. P1 13:47Trocheck: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Daley, Erne, Fabbri, Hronek · FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari

  22. P1 13:47Hronek: Instigator (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Filppula, Daley, Erne, Fabbri, Hronek · FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari

  23. P1 13:47Hronek: Fighting (5 min)3v4

    On ice: DET Filppula, Daley, Erne, Fabbri, Hronek · FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari

  24. P1 13:47Hronek: Instigator misconduct (10 min)3v4

    On ice: DET Filppula, Daley, Erne, Fabbri, Hronek · FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari

  25. P1 14:38Shot by Yandle, saved by Howard4v5
  26. P1 15:40Shot by Vatrano, saved by Howard4v5
  27. P1 16:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  28. P1 17:15Goal by Dadonov (Huberdeau, Brown)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Biega, Glendening, Bowey, Zadina · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Brown, Barkov

  29. P1 18:40Goal by Pysyk (Ekblad, Vatrano)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening · FLA Pysyk, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano, Malgin

  30. P1 19:52Shot by Hoffman, saved by Howard
  31. P1 19:57Shot by Ekblad, saved by Howard
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:38Shot by Helm, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 3:04Shot by Sceviour, saved by Howard
  36. P2 3:06Shot by Pysyk, saved by Howard
  37. P2 3:06Larkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Biega, Bowey, Larkin, Fabbri, Zadina · FLA Boyle, Stralman, Sceviour, Pysyk, Stillman

  38. P2 3:17Shot by Helm, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  39. P2 4:23Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  40. P2 5:15Goal by Larkin (Helm)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Bowey, Larkin · FLA Boyle, Connolly, Trocheck, Ekblad, Vatrano

  41. P2 5:38Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard
  42. P2 5:50Malgin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Nemeth, Erne, Ehn, Smith · FLA Stralman, Sceviour, Pysyk, Malgin, Stillman

  43. P2 5:58Shot by Fabbri, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  44. P2 5:59Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  45. P2 6:02Shot by Green, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  46. P2 6:14Shot by Bowey, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  47. P2 6:53Shot by Bowey, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  48. P2 8:08Connolly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Biega, Bowey, Ehn, Smith · FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Brown, Acciari, Stillman

  49. P2 8:35Shot by Sceviour, saved by Howard5v4
  50. P2 10:34Shot by Green, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P2 11:31Shot by Ehn, saved by Bobrovsky
  52. P2 11:37Shot by Daley, saved by Bobrovsky
  53. P2 11:54Shot by Trocheck, saved by Howard
  54. P2 13:16Shot by Matheson, saved by Howard
  55. P2 13:33Shot by Barkov, saved by Howard
  56. P2 15:26Shot by Bowey, saved by Bobrovsky
  57. P2 15:27Shot by Bowey, saved by Bobrovsky
  58. P2 15:33Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P2 16:39Shot by Fabbri, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P2 17:25Shot by Stillman, saved by Howard
  61. P2 18:16Shot by Hoffman, saved by Howard
  62. P2 18:18Shot by Malgin, saved by Howard
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 1:35Trocheck: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Biega, Erne, Hronek · FLA Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano, Acciari

  66. P3 2:44Shot by Fabbri, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  67. P3 6:28Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard
  68. P3 6:29Malgin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Biega, Bowey, Larkin, Fabbri, Zadina · FLA Stralman, Hoffman, Vatrano, Malgin, Stillman

  69. P3 6:50Shot by Sceviour, saved by Howard5v4
  70. P3 6:50Larkin: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Green, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri · FLA Stralman, Sceviour, Acciari, Stillman

  71. P3 7:24Shot by Ekblad, saved by Howard4v4
  72. P3 7:27Shot by Vatrano, saved by Howard4v4
  73. P3 8:14Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  74. P3 8:15Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  75. P3 8:25Shot by Barkov, saved by Howard4v4
  76. P3 8:27Shot by Barkov, saved by Howard4v4
  77. P3 8:37Shot by Glendening, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  78. P3 9:46Shot by Stillman, saved by Howard
  79. P3 12:50Biega: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Biega, Erne, Bowey, Larkin · FLA Yandle, Hoffman, Ekblad, Vatrano, Malgin

  80. P3 13:05Goal by Barkov (Yandle, Huberdeau)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  81. P3 13:45Shot by Pysyk, saved by Howard
  82. P3 13:45Sceviour: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Zadina · FLA Yandle, Sceviour, Pysyk, Brown, Malgin

  83. P3 15:11Shot by Fabbri, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  84. P3 17:09Shot by Trocheck, saved by Howard
  85. P3 17:18Shot by Connolly, saved by Howard
  86. P3 18:12Goal by Malgin (Vatrano, Hoffman)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina · FLA Stralman, Hoffman, Vatrano, Malgin, Stillman

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final