Wed, Jan 29, 2020·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Dallas Stars 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
41%
10%
42%
DAL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:18 | 0.22 | 59.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.16 | 52.8% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 21:47 | 0.06 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:18 | 0.36 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.46 | 49.9% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.07 | 30.9% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.35 | 52.1% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.02 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:12 | 0.16 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.22 | 48.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:47 | 0.08 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.03 | 53.6% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.75 | 38.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.02 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.03 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:42 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.10 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:10 | 0.17 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.25 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:16 | 0.27 | 62.4% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:37 | 0.08 | 47.2% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.44 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.05 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.15 | 50.5% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.36 | 48.2% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.04 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.07 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.03 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.23 | 54.3% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.11 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.17 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:24 | 0.27 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.23 | 73.5% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.37 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.33 | 66.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.61 | −1.4 | 58:18 |