Mon, Feb 3, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
45%
10%
37%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:11 | 0.03 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.06 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.02 | 39.0% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.12 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.06 | 48.4% | +69.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:26 | 0.47 | 63.9% | +59.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.02 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.06 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.15 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 14:32 | 1.25 | 44.5% | +37.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:16 | 0.46 | 23.5% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.00 | 41.6% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.17 | 37.2% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.04 | 20.0% | +20.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.21 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 27:39 | 0.08 | 44.8% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 24:13 | 0.22 | 49.2% | +35.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 7 | 24:10 | 0.82 | 45.3% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:18 | 0.14 | 91.8% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:36 | 0.39 | 66.6% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.03 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:27 | 0.02 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.06 | 50.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.03 | 94.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.21 | 94.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.10 | 57.5% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.11 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.06 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.07 | 88.8% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.44 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:09 | 0.05 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:18 | 0.26 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 5:29 | 0.12 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 13 | 10 | 3 | .769 | 1.29 | −1.7 | 37:58 | |
| – | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 0.96 | 0.0 | 20:00 |