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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 10, 2020·Capital One Arena, Washington

New York Islanders 5, Washington Capitals 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Nick LeddyD · #2011+1323:370.1263.6%+8.7
Ryan PulockD · #6011+2622:130.1167.6%+14.3
Devon ToewsD · #25101+3221:410.1572.6%+14.3
Johnny BoychukD · #550000020:220.0084.7%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #240000019:540.0057.1%0.0
Brock NelsonC · #29033+2219:350.2873.3%+41.3
Leo KomarovRW · #47101+1319:240.1347.3%+8.7
Casey CizikasC · #530000018:090.0241.5%0.0
Josh BaileyRW · #12033+2317:270.3773.1%+46.8
Anders LeeLW · #270110016:570.3075.2%+3.5
Mathew BarzalC · #130110116:300.0879.8%+3.5
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #18202+2414:420.6575.0%+32.6
Jordan EberleRW · #71010314:380.3575.4%+3.5
Matt MartinLW · #17000+1014:160.0347.3%0.0
Noah DobsonD · #80000010:190.0084.2%0.0
Derick BrassardC · #10000018:280.1158.3%0.0
Ross JohnstonLW · #32000028:150.2562.3%0.0
Michael Dal ColleLW · #28000028:030.2268.0%0.0
Thomas Greiss#1W29263.8972.29−0.760:00

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

John CarlsonD · #74112−2527:560.2821.5%+20.2
Dmitry OrlovD · #9000−1023:080.0221.8%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8000−4621:500.2916.9%0.0
Nicklas BackstromC · #19022−3221:110.1419.8%+20.2
Lars EllerC · #201010220:570.3045.2%+3.3
T.J. OshieRW · #771010220:500.2619.0%+6.3
Tom WilsonRW · #43000−3220:450.5723.7%0.0
Michal KempnyD · #60110018:310.0038.2%+3.3
Jonas SiegenthalerD · #340000114:420.1060.1%0.0
Carl HagelinLW · #62011+1114:310.1259.0%+3.3
Nick JensenD · #30000114:200.0141.7%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #42000−3114:150.0229.3%0.0
Jakub VranaLW · #130000214:060.0845.0%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #14000+1212:360.0664.2%0.0
Nic DowdC · #260000011:570.0011.7%0.0
Brendan LeipsicLW · #280000110:020.023.7%0.0
Evgeny KuznetsovC · #92000019:060.0223.1%0.0
Garnet HathawayRW · #21000008:090.008.2%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#30L20155.7501.83−3.230:36
Braden Holtby#70–121201.0001.33+1.326:25