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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 11, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Helm, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 0:25Shot by Helm, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 0:27Goal by Helm (Mantha)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel · DET Helm, Biega, Nemeth, Mantha, Larkin

  5. P1 0:37Shot by Sheary, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 1:03Goal by Sheary (Johansson, Lazar)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Miller, Lazar, Sheary, Jokiharju · DET Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Hronek

  7. P1 4:24Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 5:37Shot by Montour, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 5:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 6:21Erne: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Larsson, Wilson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Montour · DET Filppula, Daley, Green, Erne, Ehn

  11. P1 6:27Shot by Eichel, saved by Bernier5v4
  12. P1 6:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bernier5v4
  13. P1 7:02Shot by Eichel, saved by Bernier5v4
  14. P1 7:46Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Bernier5v4
  15. P1 8:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier5v4
  16. P1 8:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 9:13Shot by Nemeth, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 9:56Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Hutton
  19. P1 10:10Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 12:10Shot by Larkin, saved by Hutton
  21. P1 13:19Hutton: Delaying game illegal play by goalie (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Ristolainen, Lazar, Reinhart, Montour · DET Daley, Helm, Mantha, Larkin, Lindstrom

  22. P1 13:59Shot by Erne, saved by Hutton4v5
  23. P1 15:01Shot by Mantha, saved by Hutton4v5
  24. P1 15:44Shot by Perlini, saved by Hutton
  25. P1 15:49Shot by Biega, saved by Hutton
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:30Shot by Sheary, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 1:32Hronek: Penalty shot slash on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, McCabe, Lazar, Sheary, Jokiharju · DET Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Hronek

  30. P2 3:09Shot by Montour, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 3:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 7:02Goal by Helm (Mantha, Green)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel · DET Green, Helm, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek

  33. P2 9:22Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 9:55Shot by Hronek, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 11:00Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Hutton
  36. P2 12:54Shot by Mantha, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 14:12Shot by Vesey, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 14:59Goal by Johansson (Dahlin, Reinhart)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, Dahlin · DET Filppula, Daley, Nielsen, Biega, Erne

  39. P2 15:32Athanasiou: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Lazar, Sheary, Montour, Dahlin · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Athanasiou, Ehn, Lindstrom

  40. P2 15:52Shot by Eichel, saved by Bernier5v4
  41. P2 16:03Shot by Reinhart, saved by Bernier5v4
  42. P2 16:31Shot by Eichel, saved by Bernier5v4
  43. P2 16:36Dahlin: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · DET Filppula, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek

  44. P2 17:36Shot by Reinhart, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P2 18:05Shot by Larsson, saved by Bernier4v5
  46. P2 18:46Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hutton
  47. P2 19:07Shot by Biega, saved by Hutton
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:57Goal by Reinhart (Eichel, Jokiharju)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johansson, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel, Jokiharju · DET Daley, Helm, Glendening, Athanasiou, Hronek

  51. P3 3:53Shot by Mantha, saved by Hutton
  52. P3 4:13Shot by Sheary, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 5:15Shot by Biega, saved by Hutton
  54. P3 5:29Shot by Hronek, saved by Hutton
  55. P3 6:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 7:30Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Hutton
  57. P3 9:47Shot by Erne, saved by Hutton
  58. P3 10:24Ristolainen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel · DET Green, Helm, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek

  59. P3 13:48Shot by Reinhart, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 13:58Shot by Mantha, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 17:05Hronek: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Ristolainen, Lazar, Sheary, Montour · DET Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Hronek

  62. P3 17:30Shot by Helm, saved by Hutton5v4
  63. P3 17:54Shot by Larkin, saved by Hutton5v4
  64. P3 18:37Shot by Reinhart, saved by Bernier5v4
  65. P3 18:42Shot by Glendening, saved by Hutton5v4
  66. P3 18:46Shot by Biega, saved by Hutton5v4
  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final