Tue, Feb 11, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
59%
9%
24%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:44 | 0.03 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.38 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.04 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:36 | 0.29 | 68.9% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 0.09 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.01 | 34.4% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.13 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.15 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.10 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 16:23 | 0.48 | 52.6% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.09 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.03 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.19 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:56 | 0.07 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:49 | 0.02 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 3.12 | +0.1 | 59:34 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:22 | 0.04 | 71.3% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:07 | 0.00 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.11 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:35 | 0.85 | 53.2% | +48.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | 0.19 | 65.3% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.39 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 34.3% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.00 | 55.6% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.17 | 73.3% | +43.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.36 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.08 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.08 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:32 | 0.60 | 77.8% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.01 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.23 | 7.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.01 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.10 | +0.1 | 60:00 |