Thu, Feb 13, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Dallas Stars 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.
76%
13%
TOR winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:11 | 0.05 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.05 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.33 | 56.5% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.08 | 52.3% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.04 | 48.9% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.11 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.11 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.12 | 30.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.15 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.08 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.12 | 60.5% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.60 | 42.4% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.24 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.12 | 83.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 13.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.03 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 4.42 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27:05 | 0.50 | 66.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27:03 | 0.44 | 65.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26:39 | 0.78 | 72.0% | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:08 | 0.80 | 59.5% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.03 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:00 | 0.92 | 55.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.07 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.45 | 55.7% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.03 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.02 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:49 | 0.18 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.14 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.03 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:18 | 0.04 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:33 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 2.22 | −0.8 | 56:33 |