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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 15, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:26Shot by Sabourin, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 3:06Shot by Anisimov, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 4:11Goal by Matthews (Hyman, Dermott)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeMelo, Namestnikov, Tierney, Zaitsev, Batherson · TOR Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  5. P1 6:01Shot by DeMelo, saved by Campbell
  6. P1 6:13Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hogberg
  7. P1 7:20Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hogberg
  8. P1 8:33Matthews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT DeMelo, Pageau, Brown, Chabot, Tkachuk · TOR Hyman, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  9. P1 9:53Shot by Brown, saved by Campbell5v4
  10. P1 10:32Shot by Tierney, saved by Campbell5v4
  11. P1 11:40Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell
  12. P1 12:12Kapanen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Goloubef, Pageau, Brown, Chabot, Tkachuk · TOR Holl, Gauthier, Kapanen, Marner, Sandin

  13. P1 12:12Goloubef: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Goloubef, Pageau, Brown, Chabot, Tkachuk · TOR Holl, Gauthier, Kapanen, Marner, Sandin

  14. P1 12:42Shot by Barrie, saved by Hogberg4v4
  15. P1 15:26Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell
  16. P1 16:02Shot by Tierney, saved by Campbell
  17. P1 16:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Hogberg
  18. P1 17:00Shot by Holl, saved by Hogberg
  19. P1 17:43Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell
  20. P1 18:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Hogberg
  21. P1 19:19Shot by Sandin, saved by Hogberg
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:53Goal by Muzzin (Kerfoot, Liljegren)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Reilly, Namestnikov, Tierney, Zaitsev, Batherson · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren

  25. P2 2:57Shot by Engvall, saved by Hogberg
  26. P2 4:02Shot by Tierney, saved by Campbell
  27. P2 6:59Reilly: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Reilly, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Kapanen, Engvall, Matthews

  28. P2 7:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Hogberg4v5
  29. P2 8:10Shot by Marner, saved by Hogberg4v5
  30. P2 8:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Hogberg4v5
  31. P2 8:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Hogberg4v5
  32. P2 9:01Shot by Brown, saved by Campbell
  33. P2 11:13Shot by Tavares, saved by Hogberg
  34. P2 11:48Goal by Nylander (Tavares)+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeMelo, Pageau, Paul, Chabot, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott, Liljegren

  35. P2 12:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Campbell
  36. P2 13:09Holl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Ennis, White, Chabot, Batherson · TOR Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, Gauthier, Timashov

  37. P2 15:24Shot by Reilly, saved by Campbell
  38. P2 16:13Goal by Brown (Namestnikov, Tierney)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Reilly, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  39. P2 16:54Shot by Ennis, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:11Shot by Kapanen, saved by Anderson
  43. P3 1:09Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Campbell
  44. P3 1:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  45. P3 1:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  46. P3 3:38Shot by Kapanen, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 3:39Shot by Kapanen, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 3:59Shot by Holl, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 4:04Shot by Duclair, saved by Campbell
  50. P3 4:14Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  51. P3 5:46Shot by Timashov, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 5:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 5:50Shot by Timashov, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 6:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 7:22Shot by Pageau, saved by Campbell
  56. P3 8:33Shot by White, saved by Campbell
  57. P3 9:44Goal by Goloubef (Chabot, Tkachuk)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Goloubef, Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, Gauthier, Timashov

  58. P3 12:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 13:18Dermott: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT DeMelo, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brown, Chabot · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott

  60. P3 13:43Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson5v4
  61. P3 14:33Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson5v4
  62. P3 15:39Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 16:01Shot by Dermott, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 16:14Shot by Pageau, saved by Campbell
  65. P3 17:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 18:46Goal by Marner (Matthews)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Reilly, Duclair, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  67. P3 19:14Shot by Brown, saved by Campbell6v5
  68. P3 19:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell6v5
  69. P3 19:49Shot by Duclair, saved by Campbell6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final