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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 15, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Kerfoot–NylanderSpezza–Kapanen–EngvallClifford–Gauthier–TimashovMuzzin–HollBarrie–DermottLiljegren–SandinBarrie–SandinDermott–Liljegren
Namestnikov–Tierney–Brown1:550.19–0.001:330.00–0.041:390.00–0.001:030.00–0.004:180.30–0.001:050.00–0.04
Pageau–Duclair–Tkachuk1:290.21–0.051:050.00–0.000:440.05–0.511:320.01–0.003:440.13–0.511:490.21–0.05
Pageau–Brown–Tkachuk0:440.10–0.001:300.04–0.171:420.00–0.192:390.04–0.031:140.00–0.190:340.00–0.15
Ennis–White–Batherson1:420.05–0.001:050.13–0.061:200.00–0.031:380.00–0.011:070.00–0.091:240.13–0.000:310.01–0.00
Ennis–Sabourin–White1:000.09–0.101:460.00–0.001:360.02–0.101:430.10–0.00
Namestnikov–Tierney–Batherson1:290.16–0.100:360.00–0.020:550.16–0.001:290.06–0.00
Anisimov–Duclair–Paul1:050.00–0.020:450.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:120.12–0.000:410.00–0.020:360.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Pageau–Batherson–Tkachuk0:330.10–0.00
Anisimov–Sabourin–Paul0:490.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Reilly–Zaitsev5:540.48–0.052:450.04–0.373:210.00–0.001:230.00–0.005:360.42–0.215:320.20–0.161:030.00–0.001:330.01–0.151:070.11–0.00
DeMelo–Chabot1:510.13–0.004:410.09–0.263:000.25–0.670:580.00–0.002:380.03–0.603:530.10–0.163:020.40–0.041:120.01–0.12
Hainsey–Goloubef1:060.00–0.053:220.11–0.001:360.02–0.002:460.17–0.050:500.00–0.00
Hainsey–Chabot1:380.17–0.021:060.09–0.001:560.00–0.012:500.00–0.011:120.17–0.020:580.09–0.000:430.00–0.02
DeMelo–Zaitsev0:320.00–0.101:100.06–0.000:410.00–0.06
Chabot–Zaitsev
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDuclair FPaul FAnisimov FTkachuk FBrown FPageau FBatherson FTierney FNamestnikov FSabourin FEnnis FWhite FChabot DHainsey DReilly DZaitsev DDeMelo DGoloubef DHogberg GAnderson GSpezza FKapanen FEngvall FHyman FMarner FMatthews FTavares FKerfoot FNylander FGauthier FTimashov FClifford FHoll DMuzzin DDermott DBarrie DLiljegren DSandin DCampbell G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2928:561:002:2322
Jake MuzzinTOR2825:060:541:5228
Tyson BarrieTOR2723:420:531:5942
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2523:260:562:5521
Justin HollTOR2922:240:461:2838
Travis DermottTOR2822:220:481:2224
Connor BrownOTT2521:400:521:5821
Mike ReillyOTT2821:320:461:2440
Brady TkachukOTT2721:110:471:3641
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2520:290:491:4341
Mitch MarnerTOR2519:510:481:4786
Auston MatthewsTOR2318:220:481:5443
Kasperi KapanenTOR2317:270:461:3202
Drake BathersonOTT2617:210:401:2260
Anthony DuclairOTT2316:480:441:1642
Chris TierneyOTT2116:300:471:2432
John TavaresTOR2016:260:491:5041
Zach HymanTOR2216:250:451:1854
Ron HainseyOTT2216:230:452:0422
William NylanderTOR1915:540:501:5941
Dylan DeMeloOTT2215:500:431:1312
Tyler EnnisOTT2215:130:421:0861
Vladislav NamestnikovOTT2015:090:451:4632
Alexander KerfootTOR2014:360:441:0731
Pierre EngvallTOR2014:020:421:0205
Colin WhiteOTT2113:440:391:0951
Rasmus SandinTOR2113:090:381:0221
Jason SpezzaTOR1712:520:451:1402
Timothy LiljegrenTOR1611:400:441:2410
Artem AnisimovOTT1310:410:491:1000
Frederik GauthierTOR149:530:421:0512
Kyle CliffordTOR129:290:471:0612
Nick PaulOTT119:050:501:1701
Dmytro TimashovTOR118:240:461:0612
Cody GoloubefOTT127:300:380:5610
Scott SabourinOTT96:140:421:0011