Sat, Feb 15, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.
25%
9%
60%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:06 | 0.02 | 52.1% | +14.5 |
 Tyson BarrieD · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.11 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.08 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.15 | 58.0% | +19.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.56 | 17.6% | +3.4 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:22 | 0.40 | 25.6% | +22.4 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:27 | 0.51 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:26 | 0.48 | 81.2% | +7.7 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.34 | 21.3% | +19.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.63 | 80.0% | +7.7 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.10 | 57.6% | +14.5 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.24 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.02 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 21.7% | +14.5 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Kyle CliffordLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Dmytro TimashovLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:24 | 0.22 | 82.2% | 0.0 |
 Jack Campbell#36 | W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.77 | +0.8 | 59:56 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 28:56 | 0.31 | 50.8% | +12.6 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:26 | 0.01 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:40 | 0.49 | 66.1% | +6.8 |
 Mike ReillyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:32 | 0.02 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:11 | 0.49 | 30.0% | +12.6 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.38 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.01 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.14 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Chris TierneyC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.35 | 80.1% | +6.8 |
 Ron HainseyD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Dylan DeMeloD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.04 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.19 | 71.4% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 80.0% | +6.8 |
 Colin WhiteC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.11 | 75.1% | 0.0 |
 Artem AnisimovC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.12 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 |
 Cody GoloubefD · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:30 | 0.01 | 21.7% | +12.6 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:14 | 0.11 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Marcus Hogberg#35 | L | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 1.50 | −1.5 | 31:48 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | – | 14 | 14 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.85 | +1.9 | 26:30 |