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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 17, 2020·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Washington Capitals 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Away

Washington Capitals

2

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.

VGK winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Theodore, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 1:10Shot by Orlov, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 2:09Shot by Carlson, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 3:29Shot by Carrier, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 3:34Shot by Holden, saved by Holtby
  8. P1 3:43Goal by Holden (Carrier, Nosek)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Holden, Theodore, Carrier, Nosek · WSH Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Leipsic, Hathaway

  9. P1 4:52Shot by Orlov, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 5:05Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 5:31Shot by Eakin, saved by Holtby
  12. P1 6:11Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 6:28Shot by Holden, saved by Holtby
  14. P1 6:33Shot by Nosek, saved by Holtby
  15. P1 8:37Shot by Stephenson, saved by Holtby
  16. P1 10:52Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 10:56Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 12:59Shot by Eller, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 13:49Shot by McNabb, saved by Holtby
  20. P1 14:58Shot by Hagelin, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 16:07Shot by Schmidt, saved by Holtby
  22. P1 16:33Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Holtby
  23. P1 16:56Shot by Backstrom, saved by Fleury
  24. P1 17:17Goal by Smith (Marchessault, Stastny)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Holden, Smith, Marchessault, Theodore · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Orlov, Jensen

  25. P1 17:56Shot by Hathaway, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 17:57Shot by Hathaway, saved by Fleury
  27. P1 18:31Shot by Glass, saved by Holtby
  28. P1 19:36Shot by Schmidt, saved by Holtby
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:07Shot by Stastny, saved by Holtby
  32. P2 1:25Shot by Dowd, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 2:55Shot by Carrier, saved by Holtby
  34. P2 6:02Shot by Wilson, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 6:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 7:45Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 8:48Shot by Schmidt, saved by Holtby
  38. P2 8:51Shot by Eakin, saved by Holtby
  39. P2 8:59Merrill: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Eakin, Merrill, Stephenson, Glass, Whitecloud · WSH Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Leipsic, Hathaway

  40. P2 9:05Shot by McNabb, saved by Holtby4v5
  41. P2 11:01Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 13:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 14:06Goal by Pacioretty (Karlsson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Holden, Stone, Karlsson, Theodore · WSH Oshie, Eller, Gudas, Vrana, Siegenthaler

  44. P2 14:47Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Holtby
  45. P2 17:46Shot by Vrana, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:34Carlson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Holden, Smith, Marchessault, Theodore · WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Vrana, Kempny

  49. P3 3:16Eakin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Holden, Eakin, Stone, Theodore · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Orlov, Gudas, Vrana

  50. P3 5:12Shot by Eller, saved by Fleury4v5
  51. P3 5:22Orlov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Eakin, Merrill, Stone, Whitecloud · WSH Ovechkin, Eller, Orlov, Wilson, Kempny

  52. P3 5:47Shot by Stastny, saved by Holtby5v4
  53. P3 5:48Shot by Stastny, saved by Holtby5v4
  54. P3 6:14Shot by Theodore, saved by Holtby5v4
  55. P3 7:37Shot by Nosek, saved by Holtby
  56. P3 8:10Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Fleury
  57. P3 8:47Goal by Oshie (Orlov, Vrana)+4 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Holden, McNabb, Carrier, Nosek · WSH Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Gudas, Vrana

  58. P3 9:31Merrill: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Eakin, Merrill, Stephenson, Glass, Whitecloud · WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Panik, Boyd

  59. P3 10:40Goal by Oshie (Vrana, Carlson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Holden, McNabb, Stone, Karlsson · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Vrana

  60. P3 12:11Shot by Merrill, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 13:26Shot by Orlov, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 13:28Shot by Wilson, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 13:49Shot by Wilson, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 15:29Shot by Holden, saved by Holtby
  65. P3 19:26Shot by Backstrom, saved by Fleury5v6
  66. P3 19:32Shot by Boyd, saved by Fleury5v6
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final