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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 17, 2020·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Washington Capitals 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.

VGK winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Backstrom–WilsonOshie–Eller–VranaHagelin–Panik–BoydDowd–Leipsic–HathawayEller–Panik–VranaOvechkin–Oshie–BackstromOrlov–JensenCarlson–KempnyGudas–SiegenthalerOrlov–GudasCarlson–OrlovJensen–KempnyCarlson–SiegenthalerGudas–Kempny
Stastny–Smith–Marchessault1:060.03–0.175:010.19–0.151:480.02–0.001:270.00–0.070:430.13–0.135:210.31–0.512:280.05–0.001:240.00–0.071:050.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Pacioretty–Stone–Karlsson5:560.19–0.011:580.20–0.001:100.26–0.001:370.40–0.004:130.07–0.000:440.19–0.001:070.00–0.000:530.01–0.010:380.00–0.00
Reaves–Carrier–Nosek2:410.01–0.211:410.00–0.051:410.00–0.091:520.29–0.360:310.11–0.001:270.00–0.364:040.14–0.271:310.00–0.051:140.29–0.140:320.01–0.00
Eakin–Stephenson–Glass0:560.05–0.004:380.28–0.021:250.10–0.042:150.10–0.041:460.05–0.012:220.16–0.000:350.00–0.000:490.12–0.00
Stastny–Marchessault–Glass0:370.00–0.00
Holden–Theodore0:530.00–0.285:330.38–0.063:120.05–0.003:030.45–0.394:250.46–0.083:340.02–0.362:280.35–0.003:060.00–0.311:060.29–0.000:390.00–0.00
McNabb–Schmidt8:440.27–0.281:580.01–0.030:340.00–0.010:470.10–0.000:410.00–0.132:300.11–0.335:110.15–0.001:450.03–0.071:100.00–0.021:590.01–0.030:370.00–0.010:390.00–0.00
Merrill–Whitecloud1:180.00–0.015:460.25–0.111:480.10–0.072:590.24–0.071:150.00–0.013:260.11–0.090:390.00–0.000:490.12–0.000:460.00–0.000:300.00–0.020:340.01–0.05
Holden–McNabb1:080.01–0.140:340.00–0.140:340.01–0.00
Holden–Schmidt0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCarrier FReaves FNosek FSmith FStastny FMarchessault FStone FPacioretty FKarlsson FGlass FStephenson FEakin FMcNabb DSchmidt DHolden DTheodore DWhitecloud DMerrill DFleury GOvechkin FBackstrom FWilson FVrana FEller FOshie FHagelin FBoyd FPanik FDowd FHathaway FLeipsic FKempny DCarlson DJensen DOrlov DSiegenthaler DGudas DHoltby G
VGKWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dmitry OrlovWSH2524:330:591:3821
John CarlsonWSH2924:180:502:0652
Nick HoldenVGK2623:580:552:0926
Brayden McNabbVGK2623:020:532:2513
Alex OvechkinWSH2221:390:592:3532
Nate SchmidtVGK2620:530:482:2512
Shea TheodoreVGK2220:450:572:0335
Nicklas BackstromWSH2219:570:541:5832
Tom WilsonWSH2319:360:511:3123
T.J. OshieWSH2118:090:522:2763
Paul StastnyVGK2417:540:451:3046
Mark StoneVGK2317:540:471:3140
William KarlssonVGK2417:510:451:2830
Radko GudasWSH2017:500:541:3242
Lars EllerWSH2117:210:501:2332
Reilly SmithVGK2417:050:431:0935
Nick JensenWSH2216:470:461:3811
Michal KempnyWSH2016:410:501:2621
Jakub VranaWSH2116:350:471:1961
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2016:340:501:3043
Carl HagelinWSH1915:330:491:1822
Chandler StephensonVGK1615:100:572:0522
Max PaciorettyVGK2114:540:431:2840
Tomas NosekVGK1614:450:551:3203
Travis BoydWSH1714:260:511:2420
Jon MerrillVGK1714:000:491:4521
Zach WhitecloudVGK1713:410:481:4520
Richard PanikWSH1613:410:511:3020
Jonas SiegenthalerWSH1913:160:421:3222
Cody GlassVGK1513:040:521:3422
Cody EakinVGK1912:190:391:1323
Ryan ReavesVGK1211:010:551:1902
Nic DowdWSH1610:590:411:1304
William CarrierVGK129:480:491:1902
Brendan LeipsicWSH128:250:421:1302
Garnet HathawayWSH127:450:391:1202