Tue, Feb 18, 2020·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
38%
8%
11%
43%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 22:08 | 0.18 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:43 | 0.41 | 51.9% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:34 | 0.21 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.50 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:17 | 0.08 | 75.8% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:18 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.09 | 26.0% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.08 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.09 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.17 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.07 | 93.6% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.17 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.02 | 26.1% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.05 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.13 | 76.7% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.04 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.20 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.32 | −2.7 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 25:32 | 0.10 | 28.5% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:52 | 0.02 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 68.9% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.54 | 67.0% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.07 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 7.6% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.01 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:43 | 0.79 | 57.0% | +7.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.31 | 43.3% | +1.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.14 | 30.6% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.03 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.02 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:19 | 0.10 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 29.9% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.04 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 77.9% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:13 | 0.15 | 81.7% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:08 | 0.00 | 91.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.49 | +0.5 | 60:00 |