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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 18, 2020·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 2:19Lafferty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Schultz, Agozzino, Pettersson, Lafferty, Angello · TOR Spezza, Clifford, Marincin, Dermott, Timashov

  5. P1 2:26Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry4v5
  6. P1 4:50Shot by Gauthier, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 4:54Shot by Muzzin, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 5:30Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 7:23Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 7:24Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:58Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 8:34Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 8:43Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 9:30Shot by Dermott, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 9:36Shot by Barrie, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 11:27Timashov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Rust, Ruhwedel, McCann, Riikola, Kahun · TOR Spezza, Clifford, Barrie, Timashov, Sandin

  17. P1 11:41Goal by Rust (Crosby, Letang)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Rust, McCann · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner

  18. P1 12:53Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 13:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 14:22Shot by Barrie, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 14:30Shot by Muzzin, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 14:39Shot by Barrie, saved by Jarry
  23. P1 14:53Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 15:11Shot by Hyman, saved by Jarry
  25. P1 17:03Goal by Angello (Lafferty, Pettersson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Schultz, Agozzino, Pettersson, Lafferty, Angello · TOR Clifford, Marincin, Gauthier, Engvall, Sandin

  26. P1 17:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  27. P1 18:34Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 19:21Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:18Kerfoot: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Schultz, Blueger, Pettersson, Tanev · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin

  32. P2 2:31Shot by Kapanen, saved by Jarry5v4
  33. P2 2:52Goal by Zucker (Crosby, Rust)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Zucker, Rust, Riikola · TOR Marincin, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott

  34. P2 3:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 4:05Shot by Muzzin, saved by Jarry
  36. P2 5:16Shot by Barrie, saved by Jarry
  37. P2 6:26Spezza: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Zucker, Ruhwedel, Simon, Riikola · TOR Spezza, Barrie, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin

  38. P2 7:11Goal by Crosby (Hornqvist, McCann)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Schultz, Rust, McCann · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kapanen, Engvall

  39. P2 9:11Shot by Riikola, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 9:43Angello: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Ruhwedel, McCann, Lafferty, Angello, Riikola · TOR Barrie, Kerfoot, Gauthier, Nylander, Sandin

  41. P2 9:51Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry4v5
  42. P2 10:24Rust: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Rust, Ruhwedel, Lafferty · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  43. P2 11:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry3v5
  44. P2 11:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Jarry4v5
  45. P2 12:24Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry4v5
  46. P2 12:27Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 12:35Goal by Blueger (Rust, Crosby)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Rust, Blueger, Pettersson · TOR Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Marner, Sandin

  48. P2 13:07Shot by Clifford, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 14:05Rust: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Rust, McCann, Riikola, Kahun · TOR Barrie, Gauthier, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin

  50. P2 14:36Shot by Spezza, saved by Jarry4v5
  51. P2 16:35Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Muzzin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Schultz, Rust, Pettersson, Simon, Tanev · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Matthews

  52. P2 18:01Goal by Clifford (Spezza, Marincin)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Letang, Rust, McCann, Kahun · TOR Spezza, Clifford, Marincin, Dermott, Timashov

  53. P2 18:51Shot by Barrie, saved by Jarry
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 3:06Shot by Timashov, saved by Jarry
  57. P3 3:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 4:27Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 6:44Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 7:07Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  61. P3 7:21Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 7:41Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 9:31Shot by Muzzin, saved by Jarry
  64. P3 9:40Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 10:03Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 11:18Shot by Barrie, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 12:49Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 14:37Shot by Marincin, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 15:26Shot by Spezza, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 15:37Shot by Kahun, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 15:45Shot by Dermott, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 16:14Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final