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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 19, 2020·Pepsi Center, Denver

New York Islanders 1, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 74% of the time.

COL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Zadorov, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Francouz
  4. P1 0:46Shot by Mayfield, saved by Francouz
  5. P1 1:31Shot by Makar, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 2:21Shot by Brassard, saved by Francouz
  7. P1 4:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 4:33Shot by Lee, saved by Francouz
  9. P1 4:46Shot by Cole, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 4:47Shot by Donskoi, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 4:48Shot by Compher, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 4:57Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 4:59Shot by Compher, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 6:20Shot by Makar, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 7:19Shot by Donskoi, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 7:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 8:16Shot by Zadorov, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 9:07Goal by Donskoi (Makar, Nichushkin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Graves, Compher, Nichushkin, Makar · NYI Nelson, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Toews, Beauvillier

  19. P1 9:54Shot by Graves, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 10:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Francouz
  21. P1 10:44Shot by Bailey, saved by Francouz
  22. P1 11:06Shot by Lee, saved by Francouz
  23. P1 11:10Barzal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tynan, Kamenev, Jost, Girard, Makar · NYI Bailey, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal

  24. P1 11:43Shot by Makar, saved by Varlamov5v4
  25. P1 14:04Shot by Lee, saved by Francouz
  26. P1 15:11Shot by Greene, saved by Francouz
  27. P1 15:44Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 16:59Shot by Girard, saved by Varlamov
  29. P1 17:22Cole: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Tynan, Kamenev, Jost, Girard · NYI Greene, Komarov, Pulock, Barzal, Bellows

  30. P1 18:10Shot by Barzal, saved by Francouz4v5
  31. P1 18:39Lee: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Graves, Zadorov, Bellemare · NYI Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal

  32. P1 19:26Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Francouz5v4
  33. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:45Goal by Burakovsky (MacKinnon, Makar)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Girard, Makar · NYI Greene, Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal

  36. P2 2:12Shot by Johnson, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 3:18Shot by Nieto, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 3:45Shot by Landeskog, saved by Varlamov6v5
  39. P2 3:45Kuhnhackl: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Cole, Nieto, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Bellemare, Makar · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Martin, Leddy, Kuhnhackl

  40. P2 5:11Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Varlamov5v4
  41. P2 6:37Shot by Graves, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 7:18Shot by Toews, saved by Francouz
  43. P2 7:44Shot by Bellows, saved by Francouz
  44. P2 10:46Shot by Leddy, saved by Francouz
  45. P2 11:29Shot by Mayfield, saved by Francouz
  46. P2 12:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 14:05Shot by Cole, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 14:13Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 16:29Bellows: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Zadorov, Girard, Kaut · NYI Greene, Bailey, Martin, Pulock, Bellows

  50. P2 16:42Burakovsky: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar · NYI Greene, Bailey, Nelson, Mayfield

  51. P2 16:46Shot by Toews, saved by Francouz4v4
  52. P2 18:19Zadorov: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Compher, Zadorov, Girard · NYI Bailey, Eberle, Pulock, Toews, Barzal

  53. P2 18:32Shot by Barzal, saved by Francouz3v5
  54. P2 18:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Francouz4v5
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:13Shot by Leddy, saved by Francouz4v5
  58. P3 0:21Shot by Lee, saved by Francouz
  59. P3 2:54Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 6:17Shot by Nelson, saved by Francouz
  61. P3 7:43Goal by Landeskog (MacKinnon, Graves)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Graves, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar · NYI Eberle, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal

  62. P3 9:08Shot by Jost, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 9:39Shot by Mayfield, saved by Francouz
  64. P3 10:46Shot by Pulock, saved by Francouz
  65. P3 11:10Shot by Dal Colle, saved by Francouz
  66. P3 13:09Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Francouz
  67. P3 14:28Shot by Nelson, saved by Francouz
  68. P3 17:46Goal by Nelson (Barzal, Eberle)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nieto, Graves, Nichushkin, Bellemare, Makar · NYI Bailey, Eberle, Nelson, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal

  69. P3 19:18Shot by Barzal, saved by Francouz5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final