Sat, Feb 22, 2020·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
56%
29%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 23:13 | 0.21 | 61.2% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:46 | 0.04 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:26 | 0.01 | 60.7% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.05 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.07 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.27 | 42.8% | +9.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.30 | 44.5% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.06 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.24 | 61.0% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 37.9% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.13 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.18 | 74.9% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:45 | 0.30 | 39.4% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.53 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.50 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.14 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:09 | 0.35 | 77.3% | +18.5 |
| W | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 4.29 | +2.3 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 25:09 | 0.05 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.13 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.02 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.05 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.12 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.21 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:24 | 1.21 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.26 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.79 | 47.8% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:36 | 0.22 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.31 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:31 | 0.18 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.03 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.07 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:42 | 0.36 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.22 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 6:56 | 0.08 | 23.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 3.39 | −1.6 | 60:00 |