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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 25, 2020·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Coburn, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:51Shot by Muzzin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 3:49Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:03Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 5:44Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 7:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 8:09Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 9:46Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos, Hedman)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · TOR Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Liljegren, Sandin

  11. P1 10:47Shot by Muzzin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 12:48Goal by Muzzin (Spezza, Gauthier)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Maroon, Bogosian, Gourde, Paquette · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, Gauthier

  13. P1 13:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 13:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 14:08Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 15:17Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 15:25Coleman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Coleman, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Nylander, Liljegren, Sandin

  18. P1 16:42Goal by Tavares (Barrie, Matthews)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Paquette, Cernak, Sergachev · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  19. P1 17:02Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:04Shattenkirk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · TOR Spezza, Clifford, Gauthier, Liljegren, Sandin

  21. P1 18:17Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  22. P1 18:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 2:29Kerfoot: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Bogosian, Johnson, Palat, Goodrow · TOR Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott

  27. P2 5:07Nylander: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Goodrow, Sergachev · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Liljegren

  28. P2 5:23Shot by Muzzin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  29. P2 9:04Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 9:35Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 10:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 10:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 10:57Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 11:54Goal by Maroon (Paquette, Shattenkirk)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin

  35. P2 12:14Shot by Dermott, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 12:22Shot by Dermott, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 12:25Goal by Tavares (Nylander)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, Point · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott

  38. P2 12:45Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 13:31Shattenkirk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Coleman, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Gauthier

  40. P2 13:31Shattenkirk: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Coleman, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Gauthier

  41. P2 14:21Goal by Nylander (Marner, Barrie)3v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  42. P2 18:40Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 19:40Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 19:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:46Sandin: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Barrie, Marner, Sandin

  48. P3 0:54Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen5v4
  49. P3 5:59Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 7:25Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 7:27Goal by Gourde (Shattenkirk, Goodrow)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev · TOR Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Malgin, Sandin

  52. P3 9:45Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 10:25Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 10:55Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 11:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 11:35Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 11:38Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 11:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 12:32Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 13:29Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 14:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 16:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 18:07Shot by Gourde, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 19:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen6v5
  65. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  66. P3 0:00Final