Tue, Feb 25, 2020·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
12%
28%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Marner–Matthews | Kerfoot–Kapanen–Engvall | Tavares–Nylander–Malgin | Tavares–Hyman–Nylander | Spezza–Clifford–Gauthier | Spezza–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Matthews | Tavares–Hyman–Kapanen | Clifford–Gauthier–Kapanen | Marner–Malgin–Matthews | Kapanen–Marner–Matthews | Nylander–Marner–Matthews | Muzzin–Holl | Barrie–Dermott | Liljegren–Sandin | Holl–Dermott | Barrie–Sandin | Dermott–Sandin | Holl–Sandin | Barrie–Liljegren | Barrie–Holl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killorn–Coleman–Cirelli | 5:110.15–0.04 | 1:100.04–0.03 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.15 | 1:010.04–0.10 | 4:500.08–0.19 | 2:170.05–0.00 | 1:360.11–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.10 | ||||||||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 0:480.00–0.02 | 1:030.22–0.06 | 3:190.11–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.18 | 3:420.11–0.07 | 2:420.11–0.18 | |||||||||||||||
| Johnson–Palat–Goodrow | 3:430.09–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.03 | 1:350.09–0.08 | 1:440.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Palat–Kucherov–Point | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:270.03–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:410.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Maroon–Gourde–Paquette | 2:270.07–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.11 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:530.14–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Johnson–Goodrow–Gourde | 0:410.09–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.03 | 1:040.09–0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Johnson–Coleman–Gourde | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:070.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Cirelli | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:400.03–0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 5:220.16–0.06 | 0:330.18–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.15 | 1:010.04–0.10 | 4:390.04–0.20 | 4:000.14–0.17 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 1:460.11–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.10 | 0:470.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| Shattenkirk–Sergachev | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:330.11–0.03 | 3:090.33–0.00 | 2:190.09–0.14 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:070.11–0.00 | 3:420.20–0.14 | 1:330.07–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Coburn–Bogosian | 3:270.03–0.08 | 1:100.04–0.14 | 1:380.07–0.03 | 3:200.04–0.20 | 1:320.00–0.14 | 1:560.09–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Sergachev | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:570.05–0.00 | 0:440.04–0.04 | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 1:230.04–0.04 | |||||||||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Shattenkirk–Hedman | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 26:52 | 1:00 | 2:16 | 4 | 4 |
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 25:49 | 1:02 | 2:08 | 1 | 9 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 29 | 25:24 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyson BarrieTOR | 25 | 24:06 | 0:58 | 2:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 23:48 | 1:02 | 2:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 25 | 22:42 | 0:54 | 2:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 19 | 22:34 | 1:11 | 1:51 | 4 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 26 | 22:18 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 3 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 22:12 | 0:56 | 2:18 | 3 | 6 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 22 | 22:01 | 1:00 | 1:49 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 21:52 | 0:57 | 1:51 | 4 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 20:18 | 0:55 | 2:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 20:07 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 20:03 | 0:57 | 1:51 | 6 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 18:29 | 0:58 | 2:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Blake ColemanTBL | 18 | 16:44 | 0:56 | 1:45 | 3 | 0 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 18 | 15:39 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 1 | 9 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 20 | 15:01 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 20 | 14:50 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 0 | 1 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 17 | 14:28 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 15 | 14:24 | 0:58 | 2:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Kevin ShattenkirkTBL | 21 | 13:22 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 16 | 12:30 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 17 | 12:24 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 16 | 12:20 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 17 | 11:40 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 17 | 11:37 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 15 | 11:16 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 15 | 10:50 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 1 | 5 |
 Barclay GoodrowTBL | 17 | 10:40 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 14 | 10:09 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 12 | 9:10 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 14 | 9:04 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle CliffordTOR | 12 | 8:46 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 13 | 7:51 | 0:36 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 |
 Denis MalginTOR | 8 | 7:03 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |