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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 26, 2020·Pepsi Center, Denver

Buffalo Sabres 2, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 72% of the time.

COL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Montour, saved by Francouz
  3. P1 1:21Graves: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Graves, Compher, Jost, Makar · BUF Johansson, Skinner, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  4. P1 1:37Shot by Eichel, saved by Francouz4v5
  5. P1 2:29Shot by Reinhart, saved by Francouz4v5
  6. P1 2:54Shot by Olofsson, saved by Francouz4v5
  7. P1 3:46Shot by McCabe, saved by Francouz
  8. P1 4:41Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Francouz
  9. P1 5:01Shot by Kaut, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 5:57Shot by Simmonds, saved by Francouz
  11. P1 9:19Shot by Makar, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 9:25Shot by Makar, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 10:25Shot by Donskoi, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 11:38Shot by Landeskog, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 12:27Shot by Girard, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 13:30Jokiharju: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Nieto, Zadorov, Kamenev, O'Connor · BUF Frolik, Vesey, McCabe, Lazar, Jokiharju

  17. P1 13:55Shot by Compher, saved by Hutton5v4
  18. P1 14:24Goal by Landeskog (Compher, MacKinnon)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Jost, Makar · BUF Frolik, McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar

  19. P1 14:53Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 16:21Goal by Girgensons (Okposo, Larsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Nieto, Zadorov, Kamenev, Kaut · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Jokiharju

  21. P1 17:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Francouz
  22. P1 19:09Shot by Larsson, saved by Francouz
  23. P1 19:47Shot by Eichel, saved by Francouz
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:46Shot by Jost, saved by Hutton
  27. P2 2:58Shot by Frolik, saved by Francouz
  28. P2 4:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Francouz
  29. P2 5:36Shot by Jost, saved by Hutton6v5
  30. P2 5:38Dahlin: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Graves, Compher, MacKinnon, Jost, Makar · BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  31. P2 6:54Shot by Montour, saved by Francouz5v4
  32. P2 7:15Shot by Kamenev, saved by Hutton5v4
  33. P2 7:15Goal by Kaut (Kamenev, Girard)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Nichushkin, Kamenev, Girard, Kaut · BUF Frolik, Larsson, Montour, Jokiharju

  34. P2 7:59Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 8:07Shot by Bellemare, saved by Hutton
  36. P2 9:08Shot by Reinhart, saved by Francouz
  37. P2 9:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hutton
  38. P2 11:56Shot by Compher, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 13:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Francouz
  40. P2 14:56Goal by Lazar (McCabe, Frolik)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Girard, Kaut · BUF Frolik, Vesey, McCabe, Lazar, Jokiharju

  41. P2 15:24Shot by Montour, saved by Francouz
  42. P2 15:32Shot by Graves, saved by Hutton
  43. P2 16:49Shot by Graves, saved by Hutton
  44. P2 17:07Shot by Graves, saved by Hutton
  45. P2 18:46Shot by Olofsson, saved by Francouz
  46. P2 18:47Bellemare: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Namestnikov, Nichushkin, Zadorov, Bellemare · BUF McCabe, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju

  47. P2 19:23Shot by Eichel, saved by Francouz4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:49Shot by Okposo, saved by Francouz
  51. P3 2:23Shot by Zadorov, saved by Hutton
  52. P3 3:21Shot by Lazar, saved by Francouz
  53. P3 4:20Shot by Miller, saved by Francouz
  54. P3 5:02Shot by Miller, saved by Francouz
  55. P3 6:12Shot by Cole, saved by Hutton
  56. P3 6:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hutton
  57. P3 6:53Shot by Olofsson, saved by Francouz
  58. P3 9:16Shot by McCabe, saved by Francouz
  59. P3 10:21Shot by Jost, saved by Hutton
  60. P3 10:30Shot by Cole, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 10:46Shot by Zadorov, saved by Hutton
  62. P3 11:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Francouz
  63. P3 11:54Goal by Compher (Donskoi, Jost)+33 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Donskoi, Compher, Zadorov, Jost · BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  64. P3 12:12Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hutton
  65. P3 13:05Shot by Bellemare, saved by Hutton
  66. P3 13:09Shot by Bellemare, saved by Hutton
  67. P3 13:38Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Francouz
  68. P3 13:41Shot by Okposo, saved by Francouz
  69. P3 14:19Shot by Donskoi, saved by Hutton
  70. P3 14:44Shot by Miller, saved by Francouz
  71. P3 16:08Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hutton
  72. P3 16:13Montour: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Zadorov · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Montour

  73. P3 17:42Shot by Jost, saved by Hutton5v4
  74. P3 17:56Shot by Jost, saved by Hutton5v4
  75. P3 19:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Francouz5v6
  76. P3 19:28Shot by Olofsson, saved by Francouz5v6
  77. P3 19:53Shot by Eichel, saved by Francouz5v6
  78. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  79. P3 0:00Final