Wed, Feb 26, 2020·Pepsi Center, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 2, Colorado Avalanche 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 72% of the time.
66%
8%
20%
COL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.02 | 5.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:47 | 0.05 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:42 | 0.21 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.41 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.11 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:01 | 0.34 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.09 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.04 | 52.9% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.02 | 36.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.45 | 52.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.04 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.14 | 66.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.05 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.12 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.01 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.11 | 30.0% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 31.9% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.01 | 21.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.64 | +0.6 | 58:31 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:35 | 0.24 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:26 | 0.52 | 66.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.19 | 58.6% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:18 | 0.22 | 60.4% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:58 | 0.10 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.09 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.05 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.06 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.05 | 42.1% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:42 | 0.75 | 60.9% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.31 | 93.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.28 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.07 | 63.0% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.10 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.47 | 51.1% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.14 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 5:52 | 0.03 | 45.6% | +16.9 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.24 | +0.2 | 59:57 |