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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 28, 2020·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Buffalo Sabres 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 61% of the time.

VGK winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Theodore, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 2:16Goal by Kahun (Johansson, Vesey)+19 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Holden, Cousins, Carrier, Roy, Whitecloud · BUF Johansson, Miller, Vesey, Dahlin, Kahun

  4. P1 2:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 4:06Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 4:12Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 5:11Shot by Johansson, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:21Shot by Roy, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 6:01Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 6:50Shot by Miller, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 7:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 7:55Shot by Vesey, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 11:12Goal by Roy (Cousins, Holden)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Holden, Cousins, Carrier, Roy, Whitecloud · BUF Miller, Vesey, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  14. P1 11:19Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 13:40Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 15:18Shot by Lazar, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 16:22Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 17:37Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 17:41Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 18:35Shot by Marchessault, saved by Hutton
  21. P1 18:37Shot by Stephenson, saved by Hutton
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 4:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Lehner
  25. P2 5:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  26. P2 5:51Shot by Holden, saved by Hutton
  27. P2 10:00Shot by Stastny, saved by Hutton
  28. P2 10:38Shot by Theodore, saved by Hutton
  29. P2 11:10Shot by McCabe, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 13:04Shot by Holden, saved by Hutton
  31. P2 13:10Shot by Reaves, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 14:18Marchessault: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Martinez, Smith, Marchessault, Theodore · BUF Simmonds, Johansson, Vesey, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  33. P2 16:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner4v5
  34. P2 16:31Shot by Okposo, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 17:34Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 18:56Shot by Marchessault, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:37Shot by Holden, saved by Hutton
  40. P3 1:24Shot by Marchessault, saved by Hutton
  41. P3 2:28Shot by Miller, saved by Lehner
  42. P3 3:06Goal by Karlsson (Pacioretty, Stephenson)+25 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, McNabb, Karlsson, Stephenson, Schmidt · BUF Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  43. P3 3:45Shot by Larsson, saved by Lehner
  44. P3 4:27Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  45. P3 5:10Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Hutton
  46. P3 5:25Goal by Smith (Stastny, Whitecloud)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Holden, Smith, Marchessault, Whitecloud · BUF Johansson, Miller, Vesey, Ristolainen, Kahun

  47. P3 7:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hutton
  48. P3 8:03Shot by McCabe, saved by Lehner
  49. P3 8:55Shot by Stastny, saved by Hutton
  50. P3 9:45Shot by Lazar, saved by Lehner
  51. P3 11:09Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehner
  52. P3 11:37Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehner
  53. P3 13:27Shot by Marchessault, saved by Hutton
  54. P3 13:53Shot by Vesey, saved by Lehner
  55. P3 15:07Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 15:15Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 15:32Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 15:40Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 16:21Shot by Reaves, saved by Hutton
  60. P3 16:23Shot by Roy, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 16:47Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 17:22Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner5v6
  63. P3 18:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner5v6
  64. P3 18:11Goal by Smith (Marchessault)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stastny, McNabb, Smith, Marchessault, Schmidt · BUF Okposo, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  65. P3 19:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 19:43Shot by Montour, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 19:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 19:48Goal by Skinner (Montour, McCabe)0 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Martinez, Theodore, Roy, Quinney · BUF Simmonds, Skinner, McCabe, Lazar, Montour

  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final