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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 3, 2020·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 71% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Zucker, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 0:48Goal by Marino (Malkin, Zucker)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Marleau, Malkin, Rust, Pettersson, Marino · OTT Ryan, Anisimov, Reilly, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  4. P1 1:02Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Murray
  5. P1 1:39Goal by Sheary (Dumoulin, Letang)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Sheary · OTT Reilly, Paul, Hawryluk, White, Zaitsev

  6. P1 4:25Johnson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Schultz, Lafferty, Angello, Rodrigues · OTT Boedker, Peca, Reilly, Sabourin, Zaitsev

  7. P1 7:25Shot by Boedker, saved by Murray
  8. P1 8:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Murray
  9. P1 8:07Shot by Englund, saved by Murray
  10. P1 10:24Shot by Ryan, saved by Murray
  11. P1 10:47Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 13:18Ryan: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Marleau, Malkin, Rust, Pettersson, Marino · OTT Ryan, Englund, White, Jaros, Tkachuk

  13. P1 15:41Shot by Pettersson, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 15:52Shot by Ryan, saved by Murray
  15. P1 16:23Shot by Reilly, saved by Murray
  16. P1 16:24Goal by Hawryluk (Reilly, White)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Schultz, Zucker, Sheary · OTT Reilly, Hawryluk, White, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  17. P1 17:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 18:10Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson6v5
  19. P1 18:10Zaitsev: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Pettersson, Lafferty, Angello, Marino, Rodrigues · OTT Boedker, Peca, Reilly, Sabourin, Zaitsev

  20. P1 18:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson5v4
  21. P1 19:15Goal by Rust (Malkin, Crosby)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Rust · OTT Hainsey, Peca, Brown, Jaros

  22. P1 19:54Shot by McCann, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:10Shot by Tierney, saved by Murray
  26. P2 0:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 1:43Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 2:46Shot by Hainsey, saved by Murray
  29. P2 3:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 4:48Shot by Chabot, saved by Murray
  31. P2 5:25Shot by Hainsey, saved by Murray
  32. P2 5:32Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 5:56Tierney: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Zucker, Sheary, Pettersson, Marino · OTT Ryan, Reilly, Tierney, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  34. P2 7:30Shot by Jaros, saved by Murray5v4
  35. P2 9:06Shot by Paul, saved by Murray5v4
  36. P2 11:16Lafferty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Lafferty, Rodrigues · OTT Ryan, White, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  37. P2 12:34Shot by Tierney, saved by Murray4v5
  38. P2 12:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Murray4v5
  39. P2 17:16Shot by Sheary, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 17:21Goal by Crosby (Zucker)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Johnson, Schultz, Zucker, Sheary · OTT Reilly, Tierney, Brown, Balcers, Zaitsev

  41. P2 17:33Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 17:53Shot by Hawryluk, saved by Murray
  43. P2 18:08Shot by Angello, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 19:37Shot by Balcers, saved by Murray
  45. P2 19:58Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:35Shot by Zucker, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 0:36Goal by Zucker (Sheary, Crosby)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Sheary · OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Chabot, Balcers

  50. P3 0:54Shot by White, saved by Murray
  51. P3 1:09Goal by Tkachuk (Zaitsev, White)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Marleau, Malkin, Rust, Pettersson, Marino · OTT Ryan, Reilly, White, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  52. P3 2:57Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 3:27Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 4:28Shot by Hainsey, saved by Murray
  55. P3 4:47Shot by Lafferty, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 5:50Sheary: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Marleau, Malkin, Letang, Rust, Marino · OTT Ryan, Hawryluk, White, Chabot, Jaros, Tkachuk

  57. P3 6:32Chabot: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Marleau, Letang, Dumoulin, Rodrigues · OTT Ryan, Brown, White, Chabot, Tkachuk

  58. P3 8:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson5v4
  59. P3 8:29Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson5v4
  60. P3 9:23Dumoulin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Blueger, McCann · OTT Peca, Brown, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  61. P3 11:27Goal by Brown (Chabot)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Dumoulin, Blueger, Pettersson, Marino · OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Brown, Sabourin, Chabot

  62. P3 12:33Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 13:28Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 13:29Goal by Rust (Marleau, Malkin)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Marleau, Malkin, Dumoulin, Rust, Marino · OTT Hainsey, Tierney, Hawryluk, Balcers, Zaitsev

  65. P3 14:12Shot by Paul, saved by Murray
  66. P3 15:27Shot by Englund, saved by Murray
  67. P3 16:04Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 16:07Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 17:10Goal by Rust (Malkin)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Marleau, Malkin, Dumoulin, Rust, Marino · OTT Peca, Reilly, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  70. P3 17:23Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Murray
  71. P3 18:20Shot by Hawryluk, saved by Murray
  72. P3 19:44Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 19:53Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 19:57Shot by Lafferty, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final