Tue, Mar 3, 2020·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Ottawa Senators 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 71% of the time.
64%
9%
21%
PIT winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:45 | 0.04 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:43 | 0.13 | 51.7% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 24:03 | 0.00 | 37.5% | +2.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.06 | 31.4% | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:07 | 0.33 | 65.4% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.07 | 64.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.27 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.10 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.07 | 47.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.13 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.08 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.18 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.05 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 12:42 | 0.53 | 37.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.04 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.04 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 0:32 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 28 | 7 | .800 | 3.38 | −3.6 | 59:48 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:43 | 0.07 | 76.5% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.03 | 58.0% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 20:44 | 0.85 | 79.0% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 68.1% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.02 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 41.8% | +27.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.42 | 57.3% | +22.4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 17:09 | 0.52 | 60.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.08 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:46 | 0.44 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.24 | 63.0% | +2.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.25 | 57.1% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:05 | 0.13 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.01 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:57 | 0.28 | 83.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:26 | 0.05 | 81.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.12 | −0.9 | 59:44 |