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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 4, 2020·Capital One Arena, Washington

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Washington Capitals 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 77% of the time.

WSH winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Giroux–Voracek–CouturierHayes–Laughton–KonecnyThompson–Raffl–Aube-KubelGrant–Pitlick–RafflGrant–Pitlick–Laughtonvan Riemsdyk–Grant–PitlickThompson–Laughton–Aube-KubelVoracek–Couturier–LaughtonSanheim–MyersNiskanen–ProvorovBraun–HaggNiskanen–Sanheim
Oshie–Backstrom–Vrana1:550.01–0.131:350.00–0.010:510.00–0.052:200.00–0.201:300.00–0.141:450.03–0.00
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson0:400.02–0.001:150.06–0.131:560.10–0.080:360.07–0.001:150.07–0.002:140.18–0.21
Kovalchuk–Panik–Kuznetsov0:350.03–0.001:020.00–0.190:350.00–0.001:250.03–0.190:570.00–0.06
Oshie–Eller–Vrana0:300.04–0.000:510.04–0.121:200.18–0.031:270.08–0.120:580.18–0.03
Hagelin–Dowd–Hathaway1:150.02–0.031:150.00–0.001:130.00–0.001:460.02–0.00
Kovalchuk–Ovechkin–Kuznetsov0:410.00–0.180:470.04–0.000:400.00–0.051:280.04–0.18
Hagelin–Eller–Panik1:410.07–0.021:090.07–0.020:470.17–0.00
Panik–Dowd–Hathaway0:570.10–0.000:530.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:550.10–0.00
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Wilson0:400.12–0.100:480.00–0.021:010.00–0.020:570.13–0.10
Kovalchuk–Hagelin–Eller0:410.00–0.000:310.01–0.000:420.01–0.00
Kovalchuk–Dowd–Hathaway0:300.00–0.000:460.00–0.02
Kovalchuk–Backstrom–Vrana0:590.00–0.010:590.00–0.01
Orlov–Jensen2:090.06–0.005:080.09–0.442:310.20–0.130:570.04–0.000:510.00–0.050:360.07–0.005:070.24–0.183:580.22–0.323:110.12–0.000:340.00–0.13
Carlson–Dillon5:190.13–0.331:530.08–0.000:590.02–0.080:560.00–0.000:520.18–0.002:580.08–0.104:030.12–0.302:520.20–0.00
Gudas–Siegenthaler0:520.11–0.021:110.00–0.000:520.01–0.150:380.00–0.031:390.01–0.002:520.20–0.170:450.00–0.002:170.01–0.04
Carlson–Orlov0:320.04–0.021:290.04–0.070:550.01–0.00
Dillon–Gudas0:350.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Jensen–Siegenthaler0:320.00–0.000:560.02–0.03
Jensen–Dillon0:470.00–0.200:300.18–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FWilson FKuznetsov FVrana FBackstrom FOshie FKovalchuk FPanik FEller FHagelin FHathaway FDowd FDillon DCarlson DJensen DOrlov DGudas DSiegenthaler DHoltby GCouturier FGiroux FVoracek FKonecny FHayes FLaughton FThompson FRaffl FPitlick FGrant Fvan Riemsdyk FAube-Kubel FProvorov DNiskanen DMyers DSanheim DHagg DBraun DElliott G
WSHPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ivan ProvorovPHI3026:160:531:4676
Nick JensenWSH2722:430:501:4833
John CarlsonWSH2922:180:462:0653
Matt NiskanenPHI2822:060:471:3835
Travis SanheimPHI3021:310:431:1833
Sean CouturierPHI2521:210:511:3356
Dmitry OrlovWSH2321:100:551:4840
Alex OvechkinWSH2020:381:022:2342
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2018:550:571:4830
Claude GirouxPHI2218:010:491:3264
Jakub VoracekPHI2017:580:541:3950
T.J. OshieWSH1917:560:572:1031
Brenden DillonWSH2517:410:421:3705
Kevin HayesPHI2417:360:441:3631
Lars EllerWSH2117:180:491:2020
Philippe MyersPHI2516:490:401:4033
Scott LaughtonPHI2516:350:401:5032
Derek GrantPHI2215:400:431:1813
Nicklas BackstromWSH1915:190:481:1553
Ilya KovalchukWSH1815:140:511:2231
Travis KonecnyPHI1915:070:481:3251
Justin BraunPHI2314:270:381:0343
Michael RafflPHI2214:200:391:0901
Jonas SiegenthalerWSH1714:100:501:2711
Jakub VranaWSH1813:530:461:1221
Carl HagelinWSH1813:190:441:2613
Nic DowdWSH1813:080:441:2624
Robert HaggPHI2113:020:371:2753
Nicolas Aube-KubelPHI1912:550:411:1813
Radko GudasWSH1812:240:411:0612
Tom WilsonWSH1812:190:411:4823
Tyler PitlickPHI2012:060:361:0213
Nate ThompsonPHI1812:060:401:2916
Richard PanikWSH1411:440:501:2220
Garnet HathawayWSH1510:190:410:5620
James van RiemsdykPHI32:040:410:5601