Thu, Mar 5, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 66% of the time.
26%
9%
57%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:16 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.85 | – | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:23 | 0.93 | – | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | – | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:56 | 0.28 | – | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.03 | – | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.03 | – | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.26 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.14 | – | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 13:01 | 0.38 | – | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.24 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.08 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.10 | – | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.20 | – | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:14 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.78 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:33 | 0.24 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:32 | 0.00 | – | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.18 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.25 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 17:07 | 0.64 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.28 | – | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.18 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.05 | – | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.29 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.17 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.14 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 8:06 | 0.16 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:16 | 0.05 | – | +14.3 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.45 | −1.6 | 57:37 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.