Sat, Mar 7, 2020·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Washington Capitals 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.
54%
9%
29%
PIT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.11 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.05 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.01 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.00 | 62.8% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.25 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.24 | 37.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.05 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.01 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.27 | 41.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.04 | 63.2% | +2.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 14:26 | 0.48 | 85.5% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.17 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:24 | 0.26 | 43.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 10:26 | 0.46 | 91.6% | +18.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 10:03 | 0.17 | 89.5% | +27.5 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 3.22 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 26:19 | 0.09 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.71 | 59.3% | +3.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 21:37 | 0.30 | 56.9% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.17 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:18 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.08 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.54 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:00 | 0.51 | 52.8% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.15 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.07 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.52 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.04 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.01 | 58.9% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.01 | 5.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 7.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.01 | 7.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.55 | −2.5 | 56:20 |