Sat, Mar 7, 2020·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Buffalo Sabres 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
37%
9%
46%
PHI winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:16 | 0.14 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:58 | 0.19 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 21:02 | 0.87 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 21:00 | 0.91 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.04 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:26 | 0.10 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.01 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.08 | 76.1% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.03 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.40 | 78.6% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.11 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.28 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.30 | 48.3% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.07 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.39 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.01 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:09 | 0.03 | 10.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 3.07 | +0.1 | 57:38 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:10 | 0.04 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:56 | 0.07 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 20:50 | 0.82 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.13 | 56.9% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.40 | 60.4% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.02 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.17 | 61.6% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.62 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.27 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.04 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.01 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:48 | 0.84 | 71.2% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.04 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.19 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 6.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 3.96 | +3.0 | 59:56 |