Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:19Shot by Clifford, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:45Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 3:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:07Shot by Ceci, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 5:53McDonagh: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Goodrow, Paquette, Cernak

  11. P1 9:00Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 9:08Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 9:44Sandin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner, Sandin · TBL Coburn, Bogosian, Johnson, Gourde, Verhaeghe

  14. P1 10:27Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  15. P1 11:11Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen4v5
  16. P1 11:34Shot by Gauthier, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  17. P1 12:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 12:36Goodrow: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Paquette, Cernak

  19. P1 12:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  20. P1 12:42Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Marner)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak

  21. P1 16:14Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 16:53Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 16:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 17:35Shot by Paquette, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 18:49Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 18:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 19:18Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:35Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 1:58Shot by Gauthier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 2:11Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 2:23Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 2:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 2:49Rielly: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Ceci, Gauthier, Matthews · TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Johnson, Goodrow, Verhaeghe

  36. P2 2:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen4v5
  37. P2 3:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen4v5
  38. P2 3:56Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen4v5
  39. P2 4:36Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen4v5
  40. P2 5:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 6:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 6:40Holl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Ceci, Kapanen, Marner · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Shattenkirk, Kucherov, Cirelli

  43. P2 6:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen4v5
  44. P2 7:07Shot by Point, saved by Andersen4v5
  45. P2 9:29Coleman: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ceci, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  46. P2 10:33Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  47. P2 14:25Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 15:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 15:22Goal by Palat (Kucherov)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Sandin · TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  50. P2 16:45Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 17:28Tavares: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Holl, Kapanen, Marner · TBL Killorn, Bogosian, Coleman, Cirelli, Sergachev

  52. P2 18:56Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen4v5
  53. P2 19:22Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen4v5
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:44Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 2:01Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 2:38Shot by Spezza, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 3:02Paquette: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Sandin · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Bogosian, Gourde, Paquette

  60. P3 3:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  61. P3 3:38Goal by Matthews (Marner, Tavares)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli

  62. P3 3:57Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 4:58Shot by Clifford, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 5:15Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 6:00Shot by Barrie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 6:48Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 7:09Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 7:26Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 7:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 8:27Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 9:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 9:50Shot by Gourde, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 10:32Shot by Dermott, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 11:13Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 13:10Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 13:17Shot by Sandin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 13:42Shot by Spezza, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 14:09Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews · TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  79. P3 14:18Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen5v4
  80. P3 15:39Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  81. P3 16:53Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 17:02Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  83. P3 19:08Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen5v6
  84. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  85. P3 0:00Final