Tue, Mar 10, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.
58%
9%
25%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24:35 | 0.20 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:26 | 0.28 | 67.2% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.09 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:30 | 0.09 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.08 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.04 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.17 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.56 | 91.5% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:49 | 0.33 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.02 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.05 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:18 | 0.31 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.03 | 7.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.22 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.45 | +1.4 | 58:42 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:06 | 0.05 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 22:39 | 0.60 | 57.4% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.06 | 36.2% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.13 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.29 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:06 | 0.07 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.02 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.35 | 54.7% | +37.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.62 | 56.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.07 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.07 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 0.13 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:02 | 0.35 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.14 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:59 | 0.35 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:47 | 0.14 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.00 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.50 | +1.5 | 60:00 |