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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Coleman–CirelliPalat–Kucherov–PointMaroon–Gourde–PaquetteJohnson–Goodrow–VerhaegheKillorn–Kucherov–CirelliMaroon–Goodrow–PaquetteKucherov–Point–CirelliJohnson–Gourde–VerhaegheMcDonagh–CernakShattenkirk–SergachevCoburn–BogosianCoburn–ShattenkirkMcDonagh–BogosianCernak–Sergachev
Hyman–Nylander–Matthews2:140.01–0.032:340.00–0.421:490.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:460.24–0.000:540.09–0.004:210.24–0.313:060.12–0.141:100.01–0.000:470.00–0.00
Tavares–Kapanen–Marner2:240.04–0.161:350.00–0.080:580.05–0.030:460.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:240.08–0.000:500.03–0.003:380.05–0.102:340.08–0.030:430.02–0.13
Kerfoot–Engvall–Malgin1:370.01–0.002:030.09–0.031:280.03–0.001:450.16–0.012:460.10–0.18
Spezza–Clifford–Gauthier0:490.01–0.051:540.22–0.340:300.27–0.001:160.29–0.000:540.00–0.001:090.22–0.22
Tavares–Nylander–Matthews1:270.25–0.00
Hyman–Marner–Matthews0:300.05–0.000:380.01–0.000:490.04–0.02
Hyman–Kapanen–Matthews0:530.22–0.050:410.22–0.05
Clifford–Gauthier–Malgin0:470.01–0.000:470.01–0.00
Rielly–Ceci5:170.28–0.271:250.08–0.052:250.28–0.180:330.00–0.010:400.29–0.005:490.54–0.072:030.11–0.043:380.29–0.25
Holl–Dermott6:380.06–0.410:530.03–0.001:200.09–0.002:480.18–0.095:480.16–0.241:060.02–0.101:420.01–0.10
Barrie–Sandin2:280.01–0.001:550.00–0.320:580.08–0.001:360.10–0.321:320.00–0.003:140.09–0.160:320.00–0.12
Barrie–Rielly0:530.05–0.030:560.24–0.000:560.24–0.000:370.05–0.00
Ceci–Dermott0:590.00–0.000:340.16–0.00
Holl–Rielly0:490.03–0.000:340.00–0.00
Ceci–Sandin0:320.00–0.000:350.01–0.00
Barrie–Dermott0:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHyman FMatthews FNylander FMarner FKapanen FTavares FKerfoot FEngvall FMalgin FSpezza FClifford FGauthier FRielly DCeci DHoll DDermott DSandin DBarrie DAndersen GPalat FColeman FPoint FKillorn FCirelli FKucherov FPaquette FMaroon FGoodrow FJohnson FVerhaeghe FGourde FMcDonagh DCernak DShattenkirk DSergachev DCoburn DBogosian DVasilevskiy G
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Travis DermottTOR2525:061:002:4919
Mikhail SergachevTBL2124:351:102:2844
Auston MatthewsTOR2122:391:052:3253
Mitch MarnerTOR2522:280:542:1665
Morgan RiellyTOR2721:470:482:0732
Nikita KucherovTBL2121:261:011:4771
Zach HymanTOR2621:200:491:2755
Anthony CirelliTBL2421:150:531:2344
Justin HollTOR2421:060:532:1615
Cody CeciTOR2721:060:472:0713
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2120:300:592:0512
Ryan McDonaghTBL2219:500:541:4731
Alex KillornTBL2219:170:532:0633
Erik CernakTBL2319:170:502:0033
Brayden PointTBL2118:310:531:4773
John TavaresTOR2218:040:491:4652
William NylanderTOR1717:451:032:3261
Tyson BarrieTOR2015:550:482:3261
Kasperi KapanenTOR1915:310:491:5914
Zach BogosianTBL1714:340:511:2803
Ondrej PalatTBL1713:560:491:1043
Blake ColemanTBL1713:490:491:5801
Braydon CoburnTBL1613:390:511:2301
Yanni GourdeTBL1713:370:481:1243
Tyler JohnsonTBL1313:181:012:0932
Barclay GoodrowTBL1712:440:451:1816
Patrick MaroonTBL1512:180:491:0732
Cedric PaquetteTBL1411:360:501:4101
Frederik GauthierTOR1511:110:451:1112
Pierre EngvallTOR1611:020:411:0700
Carter VerhaegheTBL1110:240:571:1812
Alexander KerfootTOR1410:220:441:1511
Rasmus SandinTOR1610:120:381:2910
Jason SpezzaTOR118:590:491:1320
Kyle CliffordTOR118:470:481:2510
Denis MalginTOR128:400:431:0700