Wed, Mar 11, 2020·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 2, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 115 | 010 | 111 | 236 |
| CHI | 014 | 317 | 314 | 645 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:49SJSEvander KanePPAssists: Joe Thornton, Timo Meier · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 4:33CHIDuncan KeithPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 16:33CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–2
- P2 17:58CHIBrandon SaadGWGAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 1:31CHIAlex NylanderAssists: Dylan Strome · Slap, 0.12 xG1–4
- P3 6:39SJSTimo MeierAssists: Evander Kane · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–4
- P3 16:19CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Slater Koekkoek, Alex Nylander · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–5
- P3 18:03CHIDominik KubalikAssists: Kirby Dach · Slap, 0.08 xG2–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:55CHIDylan Strome: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 9:10CHIRyan Carpenter: High sticking2 min
- P2 3:59SJSAntti Suomela: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:05SJSEvander Kane: Holding2 min
- P2 15:59SJSBrent Burns: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 3:47CHIAlex DeBrincat: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Labanc – Gregor8:01
xG 1.31–0.48 (73%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Noesen – Karlsson – Kellman10:24
xG 0.55–0.50 (52%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Kane – Meier – Gregor5:11
xG 0.20–0.38 (35%)attempts 6–6goals 1–1
- Thornton – Sorensen – Meier6:40
xG 0.00–0.26 (0%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Heed10:03
xG 1.41–0.39 (78%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Vlasic – Davidson3:48
xG 0.15–0.25 (37%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Knyzhov3:51
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Saad – DeBrincat12:06
xG 0.68–0.31 (69%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Kubalik – Hagel – Dach11:11
xG 0.66–0.30 (69%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Carpenter – Highmore – Kampf9:39
xG 0.19–0.07 (73%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – Nylander12:39
xG 1.47–1.49 (50%)attempts 21–20goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Koekkoek15:24
xG 1.49–0.11 (93%)attempts 21–10goals 1–1
- Murphy – Carlsson16:31
xG 0.85–0.75 (53%)attempts 17–18goals 2–0
- Keith – Beaudin14:21
xG 0.46–1.03 (31%)attempts 13–21goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).