Thu, Jan 14, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
San Jose Sharks 4, Arizona Coyotes 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 213 | 010 | 17 | 05 | 2 | 435 |
| ARI | 08 | 19 | 219 | 01 | 1 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:43SJSTomas HertlPPAssists: Evander Kane, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P1 16:51SJSTomas HertlAssists: John Leonard, Evander Kane · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–0
- P2 15:46ARIConor GarlandPPAssists: Christian Dvorak, Jakob Chychrun · Tip-in, 0.02 xG2–1
- P3 11:24SJSEvander KaneAssists: John Leonard, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–1
- P3 16:30ARIClayton KellerAssists: Conor Garland, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
- P3 19:56ARIPhil KesselAssists: Alex Goligoski, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.37 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ARI Nick Schmaltz scored
- 2. SJS Ryan Donato scored
- 3. ARI Conor Garland stopped
- 4. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 5. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:31ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:58ARIJakob Chychrun: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P1 17:29SJSBrent Burns: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:33SJSBrent Burns: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:05SJSJoel Kellman: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 0:41SJSKevin Labanc: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:13ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
- OT 3:13ARIClayton Keller: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Brassard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Hertl – Leonard9:46
xG 0.74–0.03 (96%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Nieto – Donato – Gregor8:49
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
- Marleau – Sorensen – Kellman8:50
xG 0.33–0.61 (35%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Couture – Labanc – Meier9:25
xG 0.25–0.58 (30%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro10:29
xG 0.64–0.09 (88%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Ferraro4:36
xG 0.18–0.01 (94%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Meloche – Knyzhov4:21
xG 0.32–0.20 (62%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBrassard – Pitlick – Keller11:36
xG 1.15–0.32 (78%)attempts 21–6goals 0–1
- Larsson – Fischer – Crouse8:43
xG 0.29–0.35 (45%)attempts 3–10goals 0–1
- Schmaltz – Garland – Hayton9:34
xG 0.51–0.72 (41%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Kessel – Dvorak – Caggiula9:04
xG 0.38–0.68 (36%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun14:52
xG 0.98–0.56 (64%)attempts 15–7goals 1–1
- Hjalmarsson – Oesterle9:49
xG 0.19–0.50 (27%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Demers – Ekman-Larsson10:06
xG 0.42–0.93 (31%)attempts 14–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).