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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 24, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Calgary Flames 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 67% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 2:11Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 3:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Markstrom
  6. P1 7:46Goal by Muzzin (Marner, Rielly)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Nesterov, Lindholm, Simon, Tkachuk, Välimäki · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Vesey, Marner, Matthews

  7. P1 10:48Shot by Holl, saved by Markstrom
  8. P1 10:49Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Markstrom
  9. P1 10:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Markstrom
  10. P1 13:15Shot by Dermott, saved by Markstrom
  11. P1 13:20Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  12. P1 13:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  13. P1 13:32Shot by Backlund, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 15:32Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Campbell
  15. P1 15:43Shot by Giordano, saved by Campbell
  16. P1 16:21Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Campbell
  17. P1 17:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 18:02Shot by Andersson, saved by Campbell
  19. P1 18:56Shot by Simmonds, saved by Markstrom
  20. P1 19:24Shot by Bogosian, saved by Markstrom
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:40Rielly: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Leivo, Bennett, Hanifin · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander

  24. P2 1:32Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell5v4
  25. P2 2:23Backlund: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Nesterov, Bennett, Mangiapane · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Mikheyev

  26. P2 5:00Shot by Engvall, saved by Markstrom
  27. P2 6:36Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Campbell
  28. P2 7:45Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom
  29. P2 8:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom
  30. P2 8:23Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  31. P2 9:03Simmonds: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Simmonds, Tavares, Holl, Nylander

  32. P2 9:14Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell5v4
  33. P2 9:31Shot by Hyman, saved by Markstrom5v4
  34. P2 10:13Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell5v4
  35. P2 10:40Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Markstrom5v4
  36. P2 11:26Shot by Leivo, saved by Campbell
  37. P2 12:51Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  38. P2 12:53Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  39. P2 12:53Goal by Monahan (Hanifin, Gaudreau)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Gaudreau, Monahan, Hanifin, Simon · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Bogosian, Marner, Matthews

  40. P2 13:23Lucic: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Lucic, Backlund, Bennett, Andersson · TOR Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, Kerfoot, Mikheyev

  41. P2 14:15Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom4v5
  42. P2 14:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Markstrom4v5
  43. P2 15:16Shot by Hyman, saved by Markstrom4v5
  44. P2 15:47Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  45. P2 16:13Shot by Engvall, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 17:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Markstrom
  47. P2 17:09Shot by Nylander, saved by Markstrom
  48. P2 17:53Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Campbell
  49. P2 17:54Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  50. P2 19:19Shot by Barabanov, saved by Markstrom
  51. P2 19:20Nesterov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Nordstrom, Nesterov, Ryan, Välimäki · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Engvall, Barabanov

  52. P2 19:28Goal by Simmonds (Marner, Rielly)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Tanev, Lindholm · TOR Simmonds, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:27Shot by Leivo, saved by Campbell
  56. P3 2:41Shot by Hyman, saved by Markstrom
  57. P3 2:42Goal by Matthews (Spezza, Rielly)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Monahan, Andersson, Simon · TOR Spezza, Bogosian, Hyman, Rielly, Matthews

  58. P3 5:00Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 5:42Shot by Dermott, saved by Markstrom
  60. P3 6:16Hyman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Tanev, Gaudreau, Monahan, Simon · TOR Bogosian, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  61. P3 6:33Goal by Tkachuk (Lindholm, Andersson)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Marner

  62. P3 9:06Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 9:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  64. P3 9:43Shot by Hyman, saved by Markstrom
  65. P3 11:54Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  66. P3 12:57Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom
  67. P3 13:24Hyman: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Gaudreau, Leivo, Bennett, Andersson · TOR Simmonds, Bogosian, Rielly, Kerfoot, Mikheyev

  68. P3 13:50Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell5v4
  69. P3 14:12Monahan: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk · TOR Spezza, Bogosian, Holl, Marner

  70. P3 15:19Shot by Välimäki, saved by Campbell4v4
  71. P3 16:15Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom
  72. P3 16:25Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  73. P3 16:48Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Campbell
  74. P3 17:02Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  75. P3 18:46Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell6v5
  76. P3 19:20Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell6v5
  77. P3 19:41Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell6v5
  78. P3 19:43Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell6v5
  79. P3 0:00Final
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5