Sun, Jan 24, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 67% of the time.
60%
26%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.01 | 71.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:54 | 0.11 | 54.0% | +17.6 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.00 | 15.0% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 22:11 | 0.14 | 33.9% | +61.4 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.51 | 35.6% | +45.6 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.43 | 32.7% | +15.8 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.15 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:17 | 0.38 | 88.1% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.17 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:00 | 0.40 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.23 | 55.1% | 0.0 |
 Jimmy VeseyLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.00 | 7.1% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.16 | 40.6% | +28.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.01 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.16 | 39.9% | +15.8 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:38 | 0.07 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexander BarabanovLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:46 | 0.14 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Jack Campbell#36 | W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 4.15 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 9 | 22:58 | 1.08 | 84.0% | +14.1 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:53 | 0.02 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.12 | 20.8% | +14.1 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.33 | 80.2% | +14.1 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.04 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Johnny GaudreauLW · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:08 | 0.16 | 61.7% | +25.1 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.10 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17:55 | 1.46 | 60.5% | +25.1 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.01 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.07 | 67.2% | +25.1 |
 Juuso VälimäkiD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.15 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.43 | 90.8% | 0.0 |
 Sam BennettC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.15 | 30.7% | 0.0 |
 Joakim NordstromC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.02 | 9.8% | 0.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 4.0% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:32 | 0.00 | 4.4% | 0.0 |
 Dominik SimonC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:55 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.06 | +0.1 | 57:49 |