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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 2, 2021·Ball Arena, Denver

Minnesota Wild 1, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Minnesota Wild

1

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Greenway, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 0:57Shot by Jost, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 2:44Dries: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Graves, MacDonald, Dries, Sherwood, O'Connor · MIN Cole, Rask, Hunt, Kaprizov, Mayhew

  5. P1 3:19Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Grubauer4v5
  6. P1 5:06Shot by Girard, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 5:47Shot by MacDonald, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 8:02Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Grubauer
  9. P1 8:33Greenway: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, Burakovsky, Rantanen, Makar, Byram · MIN Cole, Brodin, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Sturm

  10. P1 8:50Shot by Bonino, saved by Grubauer5v4
  11. P1 9:12Shot by Compher, saved by Talbot5v4
  12. P1 9:22Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot5v4
  13. P1 9:30Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer5v4
  14. P1 10:07Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Talbot5v4
  15. P1 11:16Shot by Hartman, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 12:18Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer
  17. P1 13:08Shot by Cole, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 14:04Shot by Compher, saved by Talbot
  19. P1 14:07Shot by MacDonald, saved by Talbot
  20. P1 14:13Brodin: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, Graves, Compher, Rantanen, MacDonald · MIN Rask, Brodin, Soucy, Kaprizov, Mayhew

  21. P1 14:19Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot5v4
  22. P1 14:52Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot5v4
  23. P1 15:44Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot5v4
  24. P1 16:26Shot by Sturm, saved by Grubauer
  25. P1 17:00Shot by Hunt, saved by Grubauer
  26. P1 17:06Shot by Hunt, saved by Grubauer
  27. P1 17:45Goal by O'Connor (Sherwood, Makar)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Girard, Makar, Dries, Sherwood, O'Connor · MIN Suter, Bonino, Spurgeon, Kaprizov, Sturm

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:19Shot by Timmins, saved by Talbot
  31. P2 0:41Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 2:49O'Connor: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Timmins, Dries, Sherwood, O'Connor · MIN Suter, Bonino, Spurgeon, Rau, Sturm

  33. P2 4:46Shot by Hunt, saved by Grubauer4v5
  34. P2 4:59Shot by O'Connor, saved by Talbot
  35. P2 6:28Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 6:34Shot by Rau, saved by Grubauer
  37. P2 6:43Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 7:09Shot by Donskoi, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 7:09Goal by Nichushkin (Donskoi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Nichushkin, Jost, Girard, Timmins · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Bjugstad, Johnson

  40. P2 9:20Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 9:28Shot by Greenway, saved by Grubauer
  42. P2 11:38Compher: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Compher, Girard, Makar, Dries, O'Connor · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Rau, Kaprizov, Sturm

  43. P2 11:38Rau: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Compher, Girard, Makar, Dries, O'Connor · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Rau, Kaprizov, Sturm

  44. P2 11:38Compher: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: COL Compher, Girard, Makar, Dries, O'Connor · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Rau, Kaprizov, Sturm

  45. P2 12:10Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Grubauer4v5
  46. P2 13:05Goal by Kaprizov (Parise, Mayhew)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Graves, Nichushkin, Timmins, O'Connor · MIN Suter, Parise, Hunt, Kaprizov, Mayhew

  47. P2 14:38Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Talbot
  48. P2 14:58Shot by Mayhew, saved by Grubauer
  49. P2 14:58Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Grubauer
  50. P2 17:33Shot by Saad, saved by Talbot
  51. P2 18:56Shot by Saad, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 19:01Shot by Makar, saved by Talbot
  53. P2 19:31Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:56Shot by Jost, saved by Talbot
  57. P3 1:25Shot by Graves, saved by Talbot
  58. P3 1:44Shot by Graves, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 3:20Brodin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Graves, Dries, Sherwood, O'Connor, Byram · MIN Bonino, Brodin, Hunt, Kaprizov, Mayhew

  60. P3 4:19Shot by Hartman, saved by Grubauer5v4
  61. P3 4:20Shot by Hartman, saved by Grubauer5v4
  62. P3 4:21Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer5v4
  63. P3 6:47Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 9:48Shot by Landeskog, saved by Talbot
  65. P3 10:29Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Talbot
  66. P3 10:44Shot by Mayhew, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 11:17Shot by MacDonald, saved by Talbot
  68. P3 11:31Shot by Dries, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 12:23Shot by Soucy, saved by Grubauer
  70. P3 15:27Shot by Byram, saved by Talbot
  71. P3 16:55Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer
  72. P3 19:25Shot by Rau, saved by Grubauer5v6
  73. P3 0:00Final
  74. P3 0:00Period end5v6