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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 5, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Detroit Red Wings

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:17Shot by Djoos, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss
  5. P1 2:50Nemeth: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Foote · DET Ryan, Nemeth, Merrill, Mantha, Fabbri

  6. P1 5:18Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 6:29Joseph: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Coleman, Joseph, Rutta · DET Ryan, Nemeth, Djoos, Fabbri, Zadina

  9. P1 6:36Shot by Djoos, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Zadina, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  11. P1 7:57Hedman: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Sergachev · DET Gagner, Merrill, Namestnikov, Hronek

  12. P1 8:15Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
  13. P1 10:00Goal by Namestnikov (Zadina, Merrill)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Schenn, Hedman, Coleman, Gourde · DET Gagner, Merrill, Namestnikov, Hronek, Zadina

  14. P1 10:28Smith: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta · DET Nielsen, Staal, Fabbri, Smith, Stecher

  15. P1 11:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss5v4
  16. P1 11:36Shot by Point, saved by Greiss5v4
  17. P1 11:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss5v4
  18. P1 12:01Shot by Glendening, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  19. P1 12:12Shot by Cirelli, saved by Greiss5v4
  20. P1 12:13Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss5v4
  21. P1 12:14Shot by Cirelli, saved by Greiss5v4
  22. P1 12:56Shot by Zadina, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 13:28Shot by Cernak, saved by Greiss
  24. P1 13:30Shot by McDonagh, saved by Greiss
  25. P1 13:56Goal by Maroon, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Maroon, Joseph, Sergachev, Foote · DET Staal, Helm, Glendening, Erne, Stecher

  26. P1 14:36Shot by Coleman, saved by Greiss
  27. P1 15:10Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 16:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss
  29. P1 17:16Shot by Fabbri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 17:59Shot by Rutta, saved by Greiss
  31. P1 19:28Larkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Johnson, Cernak, Cirelli · DET Nemeth, Larkin, Smith, Hronek, Zadina

  32. P1 19:54Shot by Sergachev, saved by Greiss5v4
  33. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss5v4
  36. P2 1:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss5v4
  37. P2 2:21Shot by Foote, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 2:33Shot by Goodrow, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 3:29Shot by Rutta, saved by Greiss
  40. P2 6:05Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss
  41. P2 6:12Shot by Cernak, saved by Greiss
  42. P2 8:45Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 9:30Shot by Zadina, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 9:40Shot by Djoos, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 9:56Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 9:59Shot by Hronek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 10:10Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 12:07Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 12:16Shot by Erne, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 14:55Shot by Hronek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 14:58Shot by Djoos, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 17:11Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 17:29Goal by Goodrow (Rutta, Point)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Goodrow, Point, Rutta · DET Ryan, Staal, Helm, Fabbri, Hronek

  54. P2 17:50Shot by Coleman, saved by Greiss
  55. P2 19:08Shot by Nielsen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:18Shot by Point, saved by Greiss
  59. P3 0:36Shot by Maroon, saved by Greiss
  60. P3 2:21Shot by McDonagh, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 4:27Shot by Sergachev, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 6:51Shot by Sergachev, saved by Greiss
  63. P3 8:19Shot by Coleman, saved by Greiss
  64. P3 9:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 11:24Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss
  66. P3 14:29Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 15:17Shot by Hronek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 16:26Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 18:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Greiss
  70. P3 19:32Goal by Goodrow (Coleman, McDonagh)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cernak · DET Ryan, Djoos, Mantha, Fabbri, Smith, Hronek

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final