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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 5, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nielsen–Gagner–NamestnikovHelm–Glendening–ErneLarkin–Smith–ZadinaRyan–Mantha–FabbriDjoos–HronekNemeth–MerrillStaal–StecherMerrill–StecherStaal–HronekNemeth–StecherMerrill–DjoosNemeth–Hronek
Stamkos–Palat–Point1:240.00–0.004:150.03–0.334:030.08–0.222:560.03–0.262:580.03–0.002:140.05–0.001:150.00–0.081:060.00–0.020:590.00–0.260:470.00–0.00
Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde0:440.00–0.126:240.34–0.083:130.39–0.081:200.04–0.003:560.00–0.150:500.00–0.000:570.14–0.00
Killorn–Johnson–Cirelli4:290.00–0.140:320.00–0.033:120.00–0.233:590.11–0.155:030.00–0.051:010.00–0.080:410.00–0.12
Maroon–Goodrow–Joseph0:380.00–0.000:320.06–0.00
Maroon–Gourde–Joseph0:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Maroon–Point–Joseph0:490.00–0.000:360.18–0.000:490.00–0.000:360.18–0.00
Maroon–Johnson–Joseph0:560.00–0.17
Killorn–Maroon–Joseph0:420.02–0.000:380.00–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak0:450.00–0.000:520.03–0.005:440.08–0.311:280.00–0.024:180.30–0.223:420.05–0.002:530.05–0.110:410.00–0.00
Hedman–Rutta1:430.02–0.011:410.09–0.030:330.00–0.003:490.01–0.264:050.04–0.233:240.03–0.033:010.00–0.03
Sergachev–Foote2:520.00–0.001:370.02–0.020:450.10–0.001:430.03–0.002:260.00–0.000:500.02–0.000:500.12–0.00
Schenn–Sergachev1:490.00–0.162:290.22–0.121:270.23–0.152:200.18–0.020:430.00–0.000:400.00–0.12
Hedman–Cernak1:020.06–0.141:010.00–0.050:340.00–0.000:370.06–0.000:370.00–0.14
Hedman–Sergachev0:400.00–0.120:490.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:350.00–0.12
Schenn–Hedman0:360.00–0.190:300.00–0.00
Hedman–Foote0:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPalat FPoint FStamkos FJohnson FKillorn FCirelli FGoodrow FColeman FGourde FMaroon FJoseph FSchenn DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DHedman DFoote DVasilevskiy GGlendening FHelm FErne FZadina FSmith FLarkin FRyan FFabbri FMantha FNielsen FNamestnikov FGagner FMerrill DDjoos DHronek DStaal DStecher DNemeth DGreiss G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2525:251:011:4434
Filip HronekDET2324:111:032:0614
Jon MerrillDET2721:290:481:2733
Mikhail SergachevTBL2620:370:481:2753
Erik CernakTBL2320:030:521:3814
Patrik NemethDET2320:000:521:3723
Brayden PointTBL2119:550:571:3942
Alex KillornTBL2219:410:541:3152
Christian DjoosDET2119:210:551:4431
Steven StamkosTBL2019:090:571:3932
Ryan McDonaghTBL2419:060:481:4624
Yanni GourdeTBL2318:300:481:1641
Ondrej PalatTBL2018:000:541:3932
Dylan LarkinDET2217:320:481:2543
Vladislav NamestnikovDET2217:250:482:0115
Marc StaalDET2017:010:511:4223
Anthony CirelliTBL2116:590:491:2245
Barclay GoodrowTBL2216:490:461:0922
Robby FabbriDET1816:310:551:4531
Blake ColemanTBL2115:560:461:1411
Tyler JohnsonTBL1915:490:501:2022
Filip ZadinaDET2015:480:471:3533
Troy StecherDET1915:370:492:1321
Anthony ManthaDET1615:100:571:2541
Bobby RyanDET1614:530:562:4830
Darren HelmDET2114:440:422:1134
Luke GlendeningDET2214:300:401:3834
Sam GagnerDET1714:030:502:0114
Jan RuttaTBL1913:390:431:1832
Frans NielsenDET2013:320:411:0613
Givani SmithDET1812:290:421:3522
Patrick MaroonTBL1611:160:421:1543
Adam ErneDET1510:360:421:3020
Mathieu JosephTBL149:430:421:1522
Cal FooteTBL128:230:421:0432
Luke SchennTBL107:000:421:1503