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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 13, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Detroit Red Wings 4, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.

NSH winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:08Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 4:59Goal by Fabbri (Filppula, Hronek)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Jarnkrok, Granlund, Benning, Fabbro · DET Filppula, Nemeth, Mantha, Fabbri, Hronek

  4. P1 9:17Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 10:51Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 12:08Shot by Cousins, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 12:24Goal by Erne (Glendening)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Kunin · DET Nielsen, Merrill, Glendening, Erne, Hronek

  8. P1 13:25Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 13:53Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 15:04Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 16:55Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 17:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 18:42Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 19:09Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 19:45Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 19:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 19:57Nemeth: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DET Nemeth, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek

  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 3:17Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne
  21. P2 3:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  22. P2 3:51Shot by Erne, saved by Rinne
  23. P2 3:58Shot by Stecher, saved by Rinne
  24. P2 7:23Fabbro: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Haula, Tinordi, Cousins, Fabbro, Tolvanen · DET Ryan, Staal, Mantha, Fabbri, Stecher

  25. P2 7:41Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne4v5
  26. P2 8:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne4v5
  27. P2 8:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne4v5
  28. P2 10:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 11:22Shot by Benning, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 11:56Nemeth: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Haula, Granlund, Benning, Arvidsson, Kunin · DET Ryan, Nemeth, Djoos, Mantha, Fabbri

  31. P2 13:00Cousins: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Cousins, Fabbro, Tolvanen · DET Merrill, Namestnikov, Stecher, Brome

  32. P2 13:05Shot by Merrill, saved by Rinne4v4
  33. P2 14:47Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne4v5
  34. P2 15:13Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 15:38Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 15:50Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 16:20Shot by Ellis, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 16:22Shot by Haula, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 17:22Goal by Glendening (Fabbri, Stecher)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Tinordi, Grimaldi, Forsberg, Sissons, Fabbro · DET Nemeth, Glendening, Mantha, Fabbri, Stecher

  40. P2 17:55Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 18:59Shot by Merrill, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 19:40Josi: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Josi, Borowiecki, Haula, Cousins, Arvidsson · DET Filppula, Gagner, Merrill, Namestnikov, Larkin, Hronek

  43. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros4v5
  46. P3 1:51Shot by Mantha, saved by Saros
  47. P3 1:58Shot by Gagner, saved by Saros
  48. P3 1:59Shot by Gagner, saved by Saros
  49. P3 2:44Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 3:19Shot by Kunin, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 4:39Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  52. P3 6:16Shot by Tinordi, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 6:17Shot by Kunin, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 6:27Shot by Kunin, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 7:57Goal by Forsberg (Duchene, Fabbro)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Tinordi, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Fabbro · DET Filppula, Staal, Namestnikov, Erne, Stecher

  56. P3 9:42Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 12:17Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 13:09Shot by Sissons, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 14:56Goal by Mantha (Glendening, Hronek)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DET Staal, Glendening, Mantha, Fabbri, Stecher

  60. P3 16:03Benning: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Haula, Cousins, Benning, Tolvanen · DET Merrill, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina, Brome

  61. P3 18:22Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 18:33Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 19:13Goal by Grimaldi (Fabbro, Ellis)0 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Grimaldi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro · DET Filppula, Merrill, Larkin, Hronek, Brome

  64. P3 19:26Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Saros
  65. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  66. P3 0:00Final