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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 15, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 69% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:50Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:55Shot by Eberle, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Reinhart, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 6:56Shot by Pelech, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 7:26Shot by Reinhart, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 8:19Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 11:26Shot by Eichel, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 12:25Shot by Eakin, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 12:45Shot by Rieder, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 14:18Shot by Hall, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 14:47Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 14:54Shot by Pulock, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 15:05Shot by Olofsson, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 15:47Shot by Davidson, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 16:03Shot by Davidson, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 16:37Goal by Lee (Bailey, Barzal)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Staal, Irwin, Hall, Reinhart, Jokiharju · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal

  20. P1 17:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 18:21Goal by Pageau (Leddy, Mayfield)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · NYI Leddy, Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Wahlstrom

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:28Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · NYI Eberle, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Dal Colle

  25. P2 1:18Shot by Olofsson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  26. P2 1:40Goal by Olofsson (Dahlin, Reinhart)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · NYI Greene, Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Mayfield

  27. P2 2:07Shot by Dobson, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 3:27Shot by Pulock, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 4:24Shot by Leddy, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 4:49Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 6:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 8:01Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 8:09Davidson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Staal, Hall, Davidson, Reinhart, Borgen · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock

  34. P2 8:31Shot by Pulock, saved by Ullmark4v5
  35. P2 9:49Goal by Nelson (Bailey, Wahlstrom)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Irwin, Rieder, Jokiharju · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Nelson, Pageau, Wahlstrom

  36. P2 10:14Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 11:52Shot by Reinhart, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 13:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 14:04Shot by Borgen, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 16:44Shot by Dahlin, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 16:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 18:33Shot by Leddy, saved by Ullmark
  43. P2 18:43Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 19:30Cizikas: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Irwin, Sheahan, Hall, Thompson, Jokiharju · NYI Greene, Eberle, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson

  45. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:24Thompson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju, Dahlin · NYI Greene, Komarov, Pageau, Pulock

  48. P3 2:57Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Ullmark4v5
  49. P3 3:08Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Ullmark4v5
  50. P3 4:47Shot by Bailey, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 6:57Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  52. P3 7:30Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 10:22Shot by Eberle, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 11:11Shot by Eberle, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 14:33Shot by Bailey, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 15:13Shot by Komarov, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 15:25Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 16:39Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 17:56Shot by Bailey, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  61. P3 0:00Final