Mon, Feb 15, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 69% of the time.
21%
10%
11%
58%
BUF winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bailey–Lee–Barzal | Eberle–Nelson–Dal Colle | Komarov–Pageau–Wahlstrom | Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas | Eberle–Lee–Barzal | Komarov–Eberle–Pageau | Pelech–Pulock | Leddy–Mayfield | Greene–Dobson | Greene–Pulock | Greene–Leddy | Leddy–Dobson | Leddy–Pelech | Greene–Pelech | Mayfield–Pelech | Pelech–Dobson | Greene–Mayfield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staal–Hall–Reinhart | 6:260.07–0.26 | 1:460.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:300.01–0.00 | 1:080.02–0.27 | 3:580.06–0.09 | 3:220.02–0.30 | 2:480.07–0.10 | 1:210.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Skinner–Olofsson–Eichel | 0:460.00–0.00 | 3:380.02–0.17 | 2:280.19–0.00 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 1:020.07–0.08 | 4:430.07–0.20 | 3:160.02–0.03 | 1:310.19–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Sheahan–Fogarty–Thompson | 2:480.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:000.15–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.01 | 2:010.15–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Okposo–Eakin–Rieder | 2:070.11–0.08 | 1:490.00–0.01 | 1:350.00–0.10 | 1:270.02–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.06 | 2:540.00–0.04 | 0:330.11–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hall–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:340.07–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||
| Okposo–Eakin–Thompson | 0:530.00–0.04 | 0:530.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||||
| Miller–Dahlin | 2:370.00–0.02 | 3:410.14–0.07 | 4:230.15–0.01 | 2:380.01–0.09 | 0:370.07–0.00 | 5:050.22–0.12 | 5:410.02–0.04 | 1:300.00–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.03 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 0:390.11–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||
| Irwin–Jokiharju | 6:090.29–0.25 | 2:530.00–0.06 | 2:060.07–0.04 | 1:170.01–0.01 | 4:520.06–0.09 | 4:260.25–0.20 | 3:020.01–0.07 | 1:250.07–0.01 | |||||||||
| Davidson–Borgen | 1:540.04–0.02 | 2:120.04–0.11 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:470.03–0.01 | 1:430.05–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 3:070.04–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Irwin–Borgen | 0:410.00–0.01 | 1:100.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||
| Davidson–Dahlin | 0:430.00–0.03 | 0:470.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Borgen–Jokiharju | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Borgen–Dahlin | |||||||||||||||||
| Miller–Jokiharju | 0:300.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 25:02 | 0:58 | 1:50 | 4 | 1 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 26 | 22:38 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 25 | 22:02 | 0:53 | 2:06 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 22 | 22:00 | 1:00 | 2:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 23 | 21:49 | 0:57 | 2:21 | 6 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 23 | 21:44 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 2 | 2 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 21 | 21:37 | 1:02 | 3:41 | 4 | 0 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 26 | 20:42 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 2 | 4 |
 Taylor HallBUF | 25 | 20:26 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 5 | 1 |
 Matt IrwinBUF | 22 | 20:05 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 3 | 4 |
 Nick LeddyNYI | 25 | 19:55 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 1 | 3 |
 Andy GreeneNYI | 23 | 19:19 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 20 | 19:18 | 0:58 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 22 | 19:02 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 23 | 18:51 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 5 | 0 |
 Jordan EberleNYI | 22 | 18:34 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 23 | 17:16 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 24 | 16:45 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 16:44 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 25 | 15:47 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 4 | 4 |
 Eric StaalBUF | 19 | 15:15 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 4 | 1 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 18 | 15:00 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Will BorgenBUF | 26 | 14:43 | 0:34 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 14:23 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 22 | 13:09 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 3 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovNYI | 20 | 12:45 | 0:38 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 22 | 12:31 | 0:34 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 19 | 12:10 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Michael Dal ColleNYI | 16 | 12:05 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 17 | 11:39 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Brandon DavidsonBUF | 20 | 11:36 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 16 | 11:26 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Oliver WahlstromNYI | 18 | 11:16 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Tobias RiederBUF | 16 | 9:42 | 0:36 | 0:57 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 15 | 9:22 | 0:37 | 0:53 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven FogartyBUF | 11 | 8:28 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |