Tue, Feb 16, 2021·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Colorado Avalanche 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 69% of the time.
62%
9%
22%
VGK winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:48 | 0.04 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:03 | 0.01 | 45.1% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:48 | 0.07 | 53.7% | +27.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:24 | 0.29 | 55.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.01 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.18 | 37.5% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.18 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.03 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.31 | 33.1% | +49.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.41 | 50.1% | +44.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.12 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.15 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.07 | 36.3% | +77.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:53 | 0.38 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:42 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.02 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.42 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:33 | 0.22 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:58 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.07 | 34.8% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.32 | 50.1% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.33 | 68.9% | +56.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.08 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.10 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:11 | 0.32 | 66.0% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.13 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.28 | 68.9% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:27 | 0.50 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.26 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.08 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.18 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.46 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.09 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.27 | −0.7 | 59:35 |