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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 20, 2021·Edgewood Tahoe Resort, StatelineOutdoor game

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.

COL winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 0:59Shot by Donskoi, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 2:58Goal by Girard (MacKinnon, Rantanen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Byram · VGK Reaves, Martinez, Pietrangelo, Carrier, Roy

  5. P1 3:13Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 4:05Shot by Byram, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 4:37Shot by Martinez, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 8:07Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 8:10Shot by Donskoi, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 9:13Shot by Reaves, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 11:53Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  12. P1 12:02Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  13. P1 12:07Shot by Martinez, saved by Grubauer
  14. P1 12:08Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 12:12Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 12:31Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 14:03Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 14:36Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 14:51Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 16:03Stone: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · VGK Pacioretty, Holden, Stone, Stephenson, Theodore

  21. P1 16:16Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury5v4
  22. P1 16:42Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury5v4
  23. P1 17:26Shot by Makar, saved by Fleury5v4
  24. P1 17:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury5v4
  25. P1 18:40Kolesar: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Saad, Compher, Toews, Rantanen · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Carrier, Roy

  26. P1 19:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury5v3
  27. P1 19:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury5v3
  28. P1 19:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury5v3
  29. P1 0:00Period end5v3
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 3:13Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 3:14Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 3:18Carrier: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, Graves, Nichushkin, Bellemare, Girard · VGK Reaves, Carrier, Roy, Hague, Whitecloud

  34. P2 4:41Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury5v4
  35. P2 4:48Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury5v4
  36. P2 4:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury5v4
  37. P2 5:23Shot by Toews, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 5:29Shot by Saad, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 5:37Shot by Girard, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 7:36Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 7:37Goal by Martinez (Marchessault, Pietrangelo)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault

  42. P2 8:31Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 9:14Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 9:30Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 10:44Stephenson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Compher, Jost, Girard, Byram · VGK Pacioretty, Stone, Stephenson, Hague, Whitecloud

  46. P2 10:44Jost: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Compher, Jost, Girard, Byram · VGK Pacioretty, Stone, Stephenson, Hague, Whitecloud

  47. P2 11:18Goal by MacKinnon (Toews)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Saad, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar · VGK Pacioretty, Pietrangelo, Stone, Theodore

  48. P2 11:31Shot by Tuch, saved by Grubauer4v4
  49. P2 12:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury4v4
  50. P2 14:24Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Fleury
  51. P2 14:45Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Grubauer
  52. P2 16:15Donskoi: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Saad, Graves, Girard · VGK Holden, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore

  53. P2 16:42Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer4v5
  54. P2 17:44Tuch: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Compher, Toews, Jost, Girard · VGK Pietrangelo, Smith, Marchessault, Stephenson, Tuch

  55. P2 18:09Burakovsky: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Saad, Burakovsky, Toews, Girard · VGK Pietrangelo, Marchessault, Stephenson, Theodore

  56. P2 18:14Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Grubauer3v4
  57. P2 19:29Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer4v4
  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:36Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 0:43Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 1:59Kadri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Saad, Timmins, Byram · VGK Holden, Theodore, Tuch, Kolesar, Glass

  63. P3 2:31Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer4v5
  64. P3 2:37Makar: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Calvert, Bellemare, Girard, Makar · VGK Pacioretty, Stone, Karlsson, Theodore, Glass

  65. P3 2:56Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer3v5
  66. P3 7:12Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 8:00Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 8:01Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 8:24Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 8:52Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Grubauer
  71. P3 10:12Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  72. P3 12:09Shot by Stephenson, saved by Grubauer
  73. P3 12:12Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Grubauer
  74. P3 13:06Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 13:11Goal by Toews (MacKinnon, Rantanen)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · VGK Pietrangelo, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore

  76. P3 14:25Goal by Tuch (Whitecloud)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Saad, Timmins, Byram · VGK Tuch, Kolesar, Hague, Glass, Whitecloud

  77. P3 14:41Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  78. P3 15:25Shot by Holden, saved by Grubauer
  79. P3 15:54Shot by Makar, saved by Fleury
  80. P3 17:06Shot by Girard, saved by Fleury
  81. P3 17:26Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Fleury
  82. P3 18:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury
  83. P3 19:55Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Grubauer5v6
  84. P3 0:00Final
  85. P3 0:00Period end5v6