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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 20, 2021·Edgewood Tahoe Resort, StatelineOutdoor game

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.

COL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Karlsson–MarchessaultPacioretty–Stone–StephensonTuch–Kolesar–GlassReaves–Carrier–RoyPacioretty–Tuch–GlassMartinez–PietrangeloHolden–TheodoreHague–WhitecloudPietrangelo–TheodoreMartinez–HagueMartinez–WhitecloudMartinez–Theodore
Kadri–Donskoi–Saad0:420.11–0.005:250.14–0.221:590.00–0.190:450.00–0.001:260.05–0.183:370.15–0.032:170.00–0.191:140.05–0.000:440.00–0.01
Calvert–Nichushkin–Bellemare1:130.54–0.002:090.07–0.043:330.53–0.020:310.00–0.002:220.67–0.001:260.07–0.002:150.40–0.000:470.05–0.040:370.01–0.00
Burakovsky–MacKinnon–Rantanen3:580.11–0.390:580.00–0.001:130.06–0.002:580.12–0.362:070.04–0.031:060.00–0.001:340.05–0.00
Landeskog–Compher–Jost2:020.00–0.001:550.00–0.171:050.02–0.001:120.00–0.021:330.00–0.021:200.00–0.002:190.02–0.000:320.00–0.160:490.00–0.01
Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen2:260.03–0.110:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.110:560.03–0.000:430.00–0.00
Toews–Makar5:050.08–0.464:240.13–0.192:120.08–0.004:030.12–0.362:440.02–0.141:210.08–0.003:500.10–0.160:430.00–0.00
Graves–Girard2:010.13–0.013:100.09–0.230:590.01–0.043:100.39–0.001:390.09–0.182:490.18–0.001:220.35–0.001:230.00–0.060:480.01–0.040:370.01–0.001:050.00–0.01
Timmins–Byram1:490.03–0.002:500.00–0.190:390.00–0.000:420.00–0.002:370.00–0.181:010.00–0.01
Girard–Byram0:440.54–0.001:090.03–0.070:450.06–0.001:140.09–0.003:020.72–0.000:400.00–0.00
Graves–Timmins1:060.00–0.020:430.00–0.011:150.07–0.020:350.00–0.022:060.00–0.02
Graves–Byram0:490.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Toews–Girard0:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMacKinnon FBurakovsky FRantanen FSaad FDonskoi FKadri FJost FCompher FLandeskog FCalvert FNichushkin FBellemare FToews DMakar DGraves DGirard DByram DTimmins DGrubauer GSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FStephenson FStone FPacioretty FGlass FTuch FKolesar FRoy FCarrier FReaves FPietrangelo DMartinez DHolden DTheodore DWhitecloud DHague DFleury G
COLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea TheodoreVGK3126:510:523:0457
Alex PietrangeloVGK3026:430:531:5186
Alec MartinezVGK2824:560:531:5483
Cale MakarCOL3124:100:472:04119
Devon ToewsCOL3122:590:441:19911
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2520:490:502:0497
Samuel GirardCOL3020:480:421:1946
William KarlssonVGK2520:290:492:0056
Ryan GravesCOL2520:160:491:4914
Mikko RantanenCOL2319:410:512:1485
Max PaciorettyVGK2119:040:541:5633
Mark StoneVGK2219:030:521:5635
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2419:010:482:0464
Nazem KadriCOL2318:400:491:4362
Chandler StephensonVGK2518:320:441:0626
Reilly SmithVGK2417:140:431:1155
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2216:540:461:2264
Nicolas HagueVGK2114:360:421:1422
Bowen ByramCOL2214:250:391:1210
Alex TuchVGK2014:020:421:2141
Zach WhitecloudVGK2214:020:381:1422
Brandon SaadCOL2013:220:401:1632
Cody GlassVGK1613:210:501:1031
J.T. CompherCOL2213:020:361:1829
Pierre-Edouard BellemareCOL1912:530:411:0423
Andre BurakovskyCOL1812:420:422:0471
Joonas DonskoiCOL1712:350:441:2231
Matt CalvertCOL1712:320:441:2312
Tyson JostCOL1812:280:421:1924
Nick HoldenVGK2110:450:311:0322
Conor TimminsCOL159:520:391:1210
Keegan KolesarVGK149:520:421:0521
Valeri NichushkinCOL159:140:371:0411
Nicolas RoyVGK138:120:381:0821
Ryan ReavesVGK117:310:411:0820
William CarrierVGK137:240:340:5720